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companies acquired this year on Kalshi
If any company announces an agreement to acquire Wendy's before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ABC, Securities and Exchange Commission, The Wall Street Journal, The Guardian, CNBC, Bloomberg, BBC, Financial Times, Reuters, the New York Times.
Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 50 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
12% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6¢ (now) | 0.4¢ | $3.29 | 6.4% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any company announce acquisition of PayPal before Jan 1, 2027? · PayPal | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 28,025 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Anthropic before Jan 1, 2027? · Anthropic | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 17,967 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Viking Therapeutics before Jan 1, 2027? · Viking Therapeutics | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 10,580 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Perplexity AI before Jan 1, 2027? · Perplexity AI | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 7,756 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Snap before Jan 1, 2027? · Snap | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 5,700 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of MGM Resorts before Jan 1, 2027? · MGM Resorts | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 5,053 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Zoom before Jan 1, 2027? · Zoom | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 4,795 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Brown-Forman before Jan 1, 2027? · Brown-Forman | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 4,338 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of BP before Jan 1, 2027? · BP | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 3,636 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Nebius before Jan 1, 2027? · Nebius | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 3,234 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027? · eBay | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 3,190 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of OpenAI before Jan 1, 2027? · OpenAI | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 2,801 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of GitLab before Jan 1, 2027? · GitLab | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 2,787 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Universal Music Group before Jan 1, 2027? · Universal Music Group | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 2,698 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Magnum Ice Cream Company before Jan 1, 2027? · Magnum Ice Cream Company | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 2,388 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Wendy's before Jan 1, 2027? · Wendy's | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 1,407 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Pinterest before Jan 1, 2027? · Pinterest | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1,181 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Figma before Jan 1, 2027? · Figma | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 1,050 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Uber before Jan 1, 2027? · Uber | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 1,021 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Ornn before Jan 1, 2027? · Ornn | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 902 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of SentinelOne before Jan 1, 2027? · SentinelOne | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 887 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Six Flags Entertainment before Jan 1, 2027? · Six Flags Entertainment | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 833 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Lionsgate before Jan 1, 2027? · Lionsgate | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 810 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of ElevenLabs before Jan 1, 2027? · ElevenLabs | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 220 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Cordis before Jan 1, 2027? · Cordis | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 195 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Flock Safety before Jan 1, 2027? · Flock Safety | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 9 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Zoom before Jan 1, 2028? · Zoom | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Viking Therapeutics before Jan 1, 2028? · Viking Therapeutics | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Universal Music Group before Jan 1, 2028? · Universal Music Group | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Snap before Jan 1, 2028? · Snap | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Six Flags Entertainment before Jan 1, 2028? · Six Flags Entertainment | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of SentinelOne before Jan 1, 2028? · SentinelOne | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Pinterest before Jan 1, 2028? · Pinterest | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Perplexity AI before Jan 1, 2028? · Perplexity AI | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of PayPal before Jan 1, 2028? · PayPal | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Ornn before Jan 1, 2028? · Ornn | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Nebius before Jan 1, 2028? · Nebius | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of MGM Resorts before Jan 1, 2028? · MGM Resorts | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Magnum Ice Cream Company before Jan 1, 2028? · Magnum Ice Cream Company | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will any company announce acquisition of Lionsgate before Jan 1, 2028? · Lionsgate | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 0 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 50 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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