Markets › Kalshi › Sports
AFC Asian Cup on Kalshi
If Vietnam is the 2027 AFC Asian Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 24 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
5% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · Japan | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 22,888 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Vietnam win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · Vietnam | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 6,326 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Korea Republic win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · Korea Republic | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 5,114 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jordan win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · Jordan | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 3,502 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Australia win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · Australia | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 1,052 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will IR Iran win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · IR Iran | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 738 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Palestine win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · Palestine | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 103 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tajikistan win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · Tajikistan | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 40 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will China PR win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · China PR | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 26 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · Saudi Arabia | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 21 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bahrain win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · Bahrain | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 12 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · Uzbekistan | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will United Arab Emirates win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · United Arab Emirates | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Thailand win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · Thailand | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Syria win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · Syria | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Singapore win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · Singapore | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Qatar win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · Qatar | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Oman win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · Oman | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lebanon win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · Lebanon | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kuwait win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · Kuwait | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kyrgyzstan win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · Kyrgyzstan | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Iraq win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · Iraq | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 0 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Indonesia win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · Indonesia | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Korea DPR win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · Korea DPR | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.