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BTTS on Kalshi

If Algeria and Togo both score a goal in the Algeria vs Togo AFCON Qualifiers match originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: FIFA.

Market says (typical open contract)
36%
Median YES price across 24 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
71% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
35¢ (now)1.6¢$2.2836.6%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score36¢36%1.6¢—73%0Nov 16, 19:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score24¢24%1.3¢—49%0Nov 16, 19:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score38¢38%1.6¢—75%0Nov 16, 16:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score25¢25%1.3¢—50%0Nov 15, 20:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score27¢27%1.4¢—54%0Nov 15, 20:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score36¢36%1.6¢—71%0Nov 15, 19:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score34¢34%1.6¢—67%0Nov 15, 16:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score33¢33%1.5¢—66%0Nov 15, 16:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score35¢35%1.6¢—70%0Nov 15, 16:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score31¢31%1.5¢—62%0Nov 15, 16:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score34¢34%1.6¢—69%0Nov 15, 16:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score38¢38%1.6¢—76%0Nov 15, 16:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score38¢38%1.7¢—77%0Nov 15, 13:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score42¢42%1.7¢—83%0Nov 15, 13:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score43¢43%1.7¢—86%0Nov 15, 13:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score33¢33%1.5¢—66%0Nov 14, 19:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score26¢26%1.3¢—52%0Nov 14, 19:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score38¢38%1.7¢—77%0Nov 14, 19:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score40¢40%1.7¢—81%0Nov 14, 19:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score37¢37%1.6¢—74%0Nov 14, 17:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Nov 14, 16:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score42¢42%1.7¢—84%0Nov 14, 16:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score33¢33%1.5¢—66%0Nov 14, 16:00 UTC
Both Teams To Score · Both Teams To Score29¢29%1.4¢—57%0Nov 14, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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