Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment
how many streams will album have on Kalshi
If Sweet Action II by Jack Harlow has above 8M streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Luminate.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 133 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FRESH by Lil Baby have above 1000000 streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 1M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,722 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 25000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 25M | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 4,668 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 95000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 95M | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 3,812 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 100000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 100M | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 3,479 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 65000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 65M | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 2,651 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 90000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 90M | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 2,611 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 85000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 85M | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 2,597 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 55000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 55M | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 2,544 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 80000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 80M | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 2,509 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 50000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 50M | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 2,443 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 60000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 60M | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 2,334 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 75000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 75M | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 2,158 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 70000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 70M | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 2,122 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will SWALLOW! by Shygirl have above 14000000 streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 14M | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,875 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will FRESH by Lil Baby have above 14000000 streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 14M | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,768 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Devotion by David Kushner have above 8000000 streams during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week? · Above 8M | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 1,569 | Nov 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will SWALLOW! by Shygirl have above 16000000 streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 16M | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1,548 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping - The Album by The Hunger Games have above 100000 streams during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week? · Above 100K | 89¢ | 89% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 1,486 | Nov 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will FRESH by Lil Baby have above 4000000 streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 4M | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 1,484 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will FRESH by Lil Baby have above 5000000 streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 5M | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1,447 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will SWALLOW! by Shygirl have above 2000000 streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 2M | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 1,445 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will FRESH by Lil Baby have above 10000000 streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 10M | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 1,365 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Devotion by David Kushner have above 20000000 streams during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week? · Above 20M | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1,330 | Nov 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will SWALLOW! by Shygirl have above 6000000 streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 6M | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1,229 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will SWALLOW! by Shygirl have above 3000000 streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 3M | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 1,159 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will SWALLOW! by Shygirl have above 4000000 streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 4M | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1,158 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will FRESH by Lil Baby have above 12000000 streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 12M | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,136 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping - The Album by The Hunger Games have above 1000000 streams during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week? · Above 1M | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 1,070 | Nov 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will SWALLOW! by Shygirl have above 10000000 streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 10M | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1,013 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will FRESH by Lil Baby have above 16000000 streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 16M | 88¢ | 88% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 921 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 45000000 streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 45M | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 886 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will REBECCA by Becky Hill have above 16000000 streams during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week? · Above 16M | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 851 | Nov 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping - The Album by The Hunger Games have above 250000 streams during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week? · Above 250K | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 814 | Nov 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will FRESH by Lil Baby have above 18000000 streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 18M | 86¢ | 86% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 800 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dream Fatigue by Rex Orange County have above 14000000 streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 14M | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 795 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will SWALLOW! by Shygirl have above 8000000 streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 8M | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 769 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will REBECCA by Becky Hill have above 10000000 streams during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week? · Above 10M | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 757 | Nov 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Devotion by David Kushner have above 14000000 streams during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week? · Above 14M | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 727 | Nov 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will SWALLOW! by Shygirl have above 20000000 streams during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 20M | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 701 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will REBECCA by Becky Hill have above 3000000 streams during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week? · Above 3M | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 629 | Nov 22, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 133 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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