What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 86¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $0.49.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 87% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 86%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Financials

Amazon KPI on Kalshi

If Amazon.com, Inc. reports Above 1675000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Fiscal.ai.

Market says (typical open contract)

86%

Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

28% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
86¢ (now)	0.8¢	$0.49	86.8%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1550000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026? · Above 1550000	86¢	86%	0.8¢	—	28%	18,538	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1600000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026? · Above 1600000	86¢	86%	0.8¢	—	27%	15,510	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1575000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026? · Above 1575000	85¢	85%	0.9¢	—	30%	14,811	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1525000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026? · Above 1525000	90¢	90%	0.7¢	—	21%	9,624	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1500000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026? · Above 1500000	96¢	96%	0.2¢	—	7%	8,737	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report Above 1625000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in fiscal 2026? · Above 1625000	74¢	74%	1.4¢	—	53%	2,896	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report Above 1675000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in fiscal 2026? · Above 1675000	12¢	12%	0.8¢	—	25%	2,289	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report Above 1650000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in fiscal 2026? · Above 1650000	40¢	40%	1.7¢	—	80%	1,902	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.