What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.45.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 2% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Argentina Primera Division Game on Kalshi

If Velez Sarsfield is the 2026 Argentina Torneo Clausura Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

3% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Boca Juniors win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Boca Juniors	34¢	34%	1.6¢	—	69%	11,423	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will River Plate win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · River Plate	14¢	14%	0.8¢	—	27%	2,284	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Defensa y Justicia win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Defensa y Justicia	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	1,850	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will San Lorenzo de Almagro win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · San Lorenzo de Almagro	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,788	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Union Santa Fe win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Union Santa Fe	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	1,464	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Estudiantes La Plata win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Estudiantes La Plata	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	1,376	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Velez Sarsfield win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Velez Sarsfield	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	1,374	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Platense win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Platense	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,350	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Rosario win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Rosario	16¢	16%	0.9¢	—	31%	1,306	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Riestra win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Riestra	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	1,300	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Racing Avellaneda win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Racing Avellaneda	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	1,300	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Tucuman win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Tucuman	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,299	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Tigre win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Tigre	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,299	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Junin win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Junin	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,299	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Rio Cuarto win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Rio Cuarto	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,233	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Central Cordoba win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Central Cordoba	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,233	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Aldosivi win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Aldosivi	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,233	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Banfield win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Banfield	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,233	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Argentinos Juniors win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Argentinos Juniors	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	1,019	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Mendoza win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Mendoza	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	1,004	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Huracan win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Huracan	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	999	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Instituto Cordoba win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Instituto Cordoba	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	12%	941	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Independiente Avellaneda win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Independiente Avellaneda	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	886	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Gimnasia La Plata win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Gimnasia La Plata	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	886	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Barracas win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Barracas	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	876	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Talleres Cordoba win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Talleres Cordoba	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	875	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Belgrano de Cordoba win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Belgrano de Cordoba	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	825	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Newell's Old Boys win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Newell's Old Boys	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	767	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Rivadavia win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Rivadavia	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	764	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Will Lanus win the Argentina Torneo Clausura? · Lanus	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	756	Dec 26, 23:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.