Markets › Kalshi › Financials
AUD/USD after economic events on Kalshi
If the AUD/USD exchange rate published by Pyth Network is above 0.7120 at Dec 10, 2026 at 9:30am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Pyth - AUDUSD.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 210 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.7120 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above 0.7120 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.7100 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above 0.7100 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.7080 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above 0.7080 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.7060 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above 0.7060 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.7040 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above 0.7040 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.7020 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above 0.7020 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.7000 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above 0.7000 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6980 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above 0.6980 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6960 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above 0.6960 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6940 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above 0.6940 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6920 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above 0.6920 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6900 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above 0.6900 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6880 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above 0.6880 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6860 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above 0.6860 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6840 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above 0.6840 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6820 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above 0.6820 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6800 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above 0.6800 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6780 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above 0.6780 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6760 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above 0.6760 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6740 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above 0.6740 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6720 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above 0.6720 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.7120 on Dec 1 at 8:30pm ET? · Above 0.7120 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 01:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.7100 on Dec 1 at 8:30pm ET? · Above 0.7100 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 01:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.7080 on Dec 1 at 8:30pm ET? · Above 0.7080 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 01:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.7060 on Dec 1 at 8:30pm ET? · Above 0.7060 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 01:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.7040 on Dec 1 at 8:30pm ET? · Above 0.7040 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 01:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.7020 on Dec 1 at 8:30pm ET? · Above 0.7020 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 01:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.7000 on Dec 1 at 8:30pm ET? · Above 0.7000 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 01:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6980 on Dec 1 at 8:30pm ET? · Above 0.6980 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 01:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6960 on Dec 1 at 8:30pm ET? · Above 0.6960 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 01:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6940 on Dec 1 at 8:30pm ET? · Above 0.6940 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 01:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6920 on Dec 1 at 8:30pm ET? · Above 0.6920 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 01:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6900 on Dec 1 at 8:30pm ET? · Above 0.6900 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 01:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6880 on Dec 1 at 8:30pm ET? · Above 0.6880 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 01:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6860 on Dec 1 at 8:30pm ET? · Above 0.6860 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 01:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6840 on Dec 1 at 8:30pm ET? · Above 0.6840 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 01:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6820 on Dec 1 at 8:30pm ET? · Above 0.6820 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 01:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6800 on Dec 1 at 8:30pm ET? · Above 0.6800 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 01:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6780 on Dec 1 at 8:30pm ET? · Above 0.6780 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 01:30 UTC |
| Will AUD/USD be above 0.6760 on Dec 1 at 8:30pm ET? · Above 0.6760 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 01:30 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 210 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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