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Austria BSL Game on Kalshi
If Traiskirchen Lions wins the Kapfenberg Bulls vs Traiskirchen Lions men's professional Austria BSL basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 at 1:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Basketball Austria, Flashscore, Sofascore, EuroBasket.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 51¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.72 | 52.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Traiskirchen Lions wins · Traiskirchen Lions | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 15, 18:00 UTC |
| Kapfenberg Bulls wins · Kapfenberg Bulls | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 15, 18:00 UTC |
| Kufstein Towers wins · Kufstein Towers | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 15, 17:00 UTC |
| Swans Gmunden wins · Swans Gmunden | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 15, 17:00 UTC |
| BC Vienna wins · BC Vienna | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 15, 19:00 UTC |
| BK Dukes Klosterneuburg wins · BK Dukes Klosterneuburg | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 15, 19:00 UTC |
| Eagles Graz wins · Eagles Graz | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 15, 18:00 UTC |
| BBC Nord Dragonz wins · BBC Nord Dragonz | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 15, 18:00 UTC |
| Flyers Wels wins · Flyers Wels | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 15, 18:00 UTC |
| SKN St. Polten Basketball wins · SKN St. Polten Basketball | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 15, 18:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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