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Germany BBL Champion on Kalshi
If Wurzburg Baskets wins the Germany BBL championship in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: EuroBasket, easyCredit BBL, 365 Scores, Sofascore.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany BBL Champion: Wurzburg Baskets · Wurzburg Baskets | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Germany BBL Champion: Ulm Basketball · Ulm Basketball | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Germany BBL Champion: TBB Trier · TBB Trier | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Germany BBL Champion: Hamburg Towers · Hamburg Towers | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Germany BBL Champion: Baskets Bonn · Baskets Bonn | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Germany BBL Champion: Fraport Skyliners · Fraport Skyliners | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Germany BBL Champion: Medipolis SC Jena · Medipolis SC Jena | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Germany BBL Champion: Rostock Seawolves · Rostock Seawolves | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Germany BBL Champion: Rasta Vechta · Rasta Vechta | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Germany BBL Champion: Baskets Oldenburg · Baskets Oldenburg | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Germany BBL Champion: Mitteldeutscher BC · Mitteldeutscher BC | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Germany BBL Champion: Riesen Ludwigsburg · Riesen Ludwigsburg | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Germany BBL Champion: Phoenix Hagen · Phoenix Hagen | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Germany BBL Champion: Niners Chemnitz · Niners Chemnitz | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Germany BBL Champion: Brose Bamberg · Brose Bamberg | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Germany BBL Champion: Basketball Lowen Braunschweig · Basketball Lowen Braunschweig | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Germany BBL Champion: Bayern Munich · Bayern Munich | 73¢ | 73% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Germany BBL Champion: Alba Berlin · Alba Berlin | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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