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where will song rank on billboard chart on Kalshi
If "Jiggly Bow Bow (with Sexyy Red)" by GloRilla & Sexyy Red ranks between No. 7 and No. 10, inclusive, on the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated Nov 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Billboard.
Market says (typical open contract)
10%
Median YES price across 88 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
20% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10¢ (now) | 0.6¢ | $3.15 | 10.6% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 1–2 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 1 to 2 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 12,024 | Nov 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 1–2 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 1 to 2 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 8,392 | Dec 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 3–4 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 3 to 4 | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 7,073 | Nov 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 1–2 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 1 to 2 | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 2,504 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 3–4 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 3 to 4 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 2,411 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 5–6 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 5 to 6 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 2,404 | Dec 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 3–4 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 3 to 4 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 2,235 | Dec 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 75–100 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 75 to 100 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,008 | Dec 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 7–10 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 7 to 10 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1,909 | Nov 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 16–20 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 16 to 20 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,818 | Nov 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 11–15 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 11 to 15 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,706 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 5–6 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 5 to 6 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,685 | Nov 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 5–6 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 5 to 6 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,625 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 31–40 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 31 to 40 | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 1,618 | Dec 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 21–30 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 21 to 30 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,613 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 16–20 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 16 to 20 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,613 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 7–10 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 7 to 10 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,531 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 11–15 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 11 to 15 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,526 | Nov 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 1–2 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 1 to 2 | 89¢ | 89% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 1,516 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 75–100 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 75 to 100 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,485 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 51–74 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 51 to 74 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,485 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 41–50 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 41 to 50 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,485 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 31–40 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 31 to 40 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,485 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 3–4 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 3 to 4 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1,405 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 21–30 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 21 to 30 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,380 | Nov 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 51–74 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 51 to 74 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,358 | Dec 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 41–50 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 41 to 50 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,308 | Dec 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 21–30 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 21 to 30 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 1,283 | Dec 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 16–20 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 16 to 20 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 1,258 | Dec 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 11–15 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 11 to 15 | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 1,258 | Dec 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 7–10 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 7 to 10 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 1,243 | Dec 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 75–100 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 75 to 100 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,012 | Nov 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 51–74 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 51 to 74 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,012 | Nov 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 41–50 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 41 to 50 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,012 | Nov 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 31–40 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 31 to 40 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,012 | Nov 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 5–6 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 5 to 6 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 451 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 75–100 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 75 to 100 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 280 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 51–74 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 51 to 74 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 255 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 11–15 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 11 to 15 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 249 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 7–10 on Billboard Hot 100? · Rank 7 to 10 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 230 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 88 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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