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BCE KPI on Kalshi
If BCE Inc. reports Above 90000 total wireless mobile phone net subscriber activations in Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
31%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
62% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 31¢ (now) | 1.5¢ | $2.41 | 32.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BCE Inc. report Above 90,000 total wireless mobile phone net subscriber activations in Q4 2026? · Above 90,000 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jun 04, 14:00 UTC |
| Will BCE Inc. report Above 80,000 total wireless mobile phone net subscriber activations in Q4 2026? · Above 80,000 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 04, 14:00 UTC |
| Will BCE Inc. report Above 70,000 total wireless mobile phone net subscriber activations in Q4 2026? · Above 70,000 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jun 04, 14:00 UTC |
| Will BCE Inc. report Above 60,000 total wireless mobile phone net subscriber activations in Q4 2026? · Above 60,000 | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Jun 04, 14:00 UTC |
| Will BCE Inc. report Above 50,000 total wireless mobile phone net subscriber activations in Q4 2026? · Above 50,000 | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 0 | Jun 04, 14:00 UTC |
| Will BCE Inc. report Above 40,000 total wireless mobile phone net subscriber activations in Q4 2026? · Above 40,000 | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Jun 04, 14:00 UTC |
| Will BCE Inc. report Above 30,000 total wireless mobile phone net subscriber activations in Q4 2026? · Above 30,000 | 77¢ | 77% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Jun 04, 14:00 UTC |
| Will BCE Inc. report Above 20,000 total wireless mobile phone net subscriber activations in Q4 2026? · Above 20,000 | 91¢ | 91% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Jun 04, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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