Markets › Kalshi › Crypto
BNB Directional on Kalshi
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 AM EST is above $864.99 at 5 AM EST on Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: CF Benchmarks.
Market says (typical open contract)
70%
Median YES price across 162 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
59% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ (now) | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $685 or above | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 1,284 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 10, 2026? · $690 or above | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 302 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $565 or above | 71¢ | 71% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 147 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $535 or above | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 56 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $620 or above | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 46 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $520 or above | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 43 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $625 or above | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 42 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $555 or above | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 42 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $570 or above | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 40 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $525 or above | 71¢ | 71% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 38 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $605 or above | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 37 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $530 or above | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 37 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $600 or above | 71¢ | 71% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 36 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $515 or above | 71¢ | 71% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 36 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $635 or above | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 35 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $615 or above | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 35 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $585 or above | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 34 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $575 or above | 71¢ | 71% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 33 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 10, 2026? · $685 or above | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 30 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $675 or above | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 20 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $690 or above | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 20 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $645 or above | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 17 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $630 or above | 69¢ | 69% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 17 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $545 or above | 71¢ | 71% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 13 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $540 or above | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 10 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $640 or above | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 10 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $590 or above | 71¢ | 71% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 10 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $610 or above | 71¢ | 71% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 9 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $665 or above | 84¢ | 84% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 7 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $700 or above | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 4 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $695 or above | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 4 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 13, 2026? · $595 or above | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 3 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 10, 2026? · $865 or above | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 10, 2026? · $860 or above | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 10, 2026? · $855 or above | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 10, 2026? · $850 or above | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 10, 2026? · $845 or above | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 10, 2026? · $840 or above | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 10, 2026? · $835 or above | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| BNB price on Nov 10, 2026? · $830 or above | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 162 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.