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Brasileiro Top X on Kalshi
If Vitoria is a top 8 finisher in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sky Sports, ESPN, CBS Sports, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 40 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Palmeiras finish in the top 4 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Palmeiras | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 764 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Palmeiras finish in the top 8 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Palmeiras | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 557 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Flamengo finish in the top 8 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Flamengo | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 534 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Flamengo finish in the top 4 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Flamengo | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 403 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Fluminense finish in the top 8 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Fluminense | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 305 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cruzeiro finish in the top 4 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Cruzeiro | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 301 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Paranaense finish in the top 8 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Paranaense | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 247 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bahia finish in the top 8 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Bahia | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 221 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cruzeiro finish in the top 8 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Cruzeiro | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 207 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Corinthians finish in the top 8 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Corinthians | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 100 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Fluminense finish in the top 4 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Fluminense | 75¢ | 75% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 41 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Santos finish in the top 8 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Santos | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 38 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Atletico Mineiro finish in the top 4 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Atletico Mineiro | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 20 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sao Paulo finish in the top 8 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Sao Paulo | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 9 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Atletico Mineiro finish in the top 8 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Atletico Mineiro | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 6 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sao Paulo finish in the top 4 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Sao Paulo | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 5 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bragantino finish in the top 8 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Bragantino | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Botafogo finish in the top 8 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Botafogo | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bragantino finish in the top 4 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Bragantino | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Vitoria finish in the top 8 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Vitoria | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Vasco da Gama finish in the top 8 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Vasco da Gama | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mirassol finish in the top 8 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Mirassol | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Internacional finish in the top 8 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Internacional | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gremio finish in the top 8 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Gremio | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Coritiba finish in the top 8 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Coritiba | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Remo finish in the top 8 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Remo | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chapecoense finish in the top 8 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Chapecoense | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Vitoria finish in the top 4 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Vitoria | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Vasco da Gama finish in the top 4 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Vasco da Gama | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Santos finish in the top 4 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Santos | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mirassol finish in the top 4 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Mirassol | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Internacional finish in the top 4 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Internacional | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gremio finish in the top 4 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Gremio | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Coritiba finish in the top 4 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Coritiba | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Remo finish in the top 4 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Remo | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Corinthians finish in the top 4 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Corinthians | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chapecoense finish in the top 4 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Chapecoense | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Paranaense finish in the top 4 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Paranaense | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Botafogo finish in the top 4 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Botafogo | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bahia finish in the top 4 in the 2026 Brasileiro Serie A season? · Bahia | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 0 | Dec 17, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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