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Chess.com Bullet Brawl Top Finishers on Kalshi
If Zayne-Eddine El Zein finishes in the top 8 in the Bullet Brawl chess competition, originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Liquipedia, Chess.com.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 420 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
5% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Hikaru Nakamura · Hikaru Nakamura | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 496 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Ediz Gurel · Ediz Gurel | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 410 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Tuan Minh Le · Tuan Minh Le | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 405 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Faustino Oro · Faustino Oro | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 400 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Reza Mahdavi · Reza Mahdavi | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 205 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 5 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Tuan Minh Le · Tuan Minh Le | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 205 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 5 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Reza Mahdavi · Reza Mahdavi | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 205 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 5 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Ediz Gurel · Ediz Gurel | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 205 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 3 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Ediz Gurel · Ediz Gurel | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 205 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Alireza Firouzja · Alireza Firouzja | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 200 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Arjun Erigaisi · Arjun Erigaisi | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 200 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 5 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Jeffery Xiong · Jeffery Xiong | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 200 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 5 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Faustino Oro · Faustino Oro | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 200 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 5 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Alireza Firouzja · Alireza Firouzja | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 200 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 5 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Arjun Erigaisi · Arjun Erigaisi | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 200 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Zayne-Eddine El Zein · Zayne-Eddine El Zein | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Zbigniew Pakleza · Zbigniew Pakleza | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Zurab Javakhadze · Zurab Javakhadze | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Yoseph Theolifus Taher · Yoseph Theolifus Taher | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Yevgeni Sprenger de la Iglesia · Yevgeni Sprenger de la Iglesia | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Yunus Emre Gunebakan · Yunus Emre Gunebakan | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Yagiz Kaan Erdogmus · Yagiz Kaan Erdogmus | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Will Moorhouse · Will Moorhouse | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Witold Lechowski · Witold Lechowski | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Volkan Yirik · Volkan Yirik | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: V Pranav · V Pranav | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Vihaan Karthikeya N · Vihaan Karthikeya N | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Volodar Murzin · Volodar Murzin | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Vihaan Jammalamadaka · Vihaan Jammalamadaka | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Vardan Danielian · Vardan Danielian | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Uygar Durucay · Uygar Durucay | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Thi Bao Tram Hoang · Thi Bao Tram Hoang | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Sergei Zhigalko · Sergei Zhigalko | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Sergey Sklokin-Bagiyan · Sergey Sklokin-Bagiyan | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Sanan Sjugirov · Sanan Sjugirov | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Sayyid Usmon Shamsuddin · Sayyid Usmon Shamsuddin | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Sam Sevian · Sam Sevian | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Saleh Salem · Saleh Salem | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Sina Movahed · Sina Movahed | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
| Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers on Nov 14, 2026: Seyed Abolfazl Moosavifar · Seyed Abolfazl Moosavifar | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 21, 17:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 420 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.