What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.41.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 3% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Bundesliga Last Place Finisher on Kalshi

If Stuttgart finishes in last place in the league table in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Sky Sports, ESPN, CBS Sports, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

5% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
3¢ (now)	0.2¢	$3.40	3.2%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Hoffenheim finish in last place in the Bundesliga 2026-27 season? · Hoffenheim	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	59	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Leipzig finish in last place in the Bundesliga 2026-27 season? · Leipzig	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Stuttgart finish in last place in the Bundesliga 2026-27 season? · Stuttgart	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Union Berlin finish in last place in the Bundesliga 2026-27 season? · Union Berlin	21¢	21%	1.2¢	—	42%	0	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Bremen finish in last place in the Bundesliga 2026-27 season? · Bremen	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Elversberg finish in last place in the Bundesliga 2026-27 season? · Elversberg	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	0	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Frankfurt finish in last place in the Bundesliga 2026-27 season? · Frankfurt	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Schalke finish in last place in the Bundesliga 2026-27 season? · Schalke	14¢	14%	0.8¢	—	28%	0	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Freiburg finish in last place in the Bundesliga 2026-27 season? · Freiburg	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Paderborn finish in last place in the Bundesliga 2026-27 season? · Paderborn	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	24%	0	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Mainz finish in last place in the Bundesliga 2026-27 season? · Mainz	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Leverkusen finish in last place in the Bundesliga 2026-27 season? · Leverkusen	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will FC Cologne finish in last place in the Bundesliga 2026-27 season? · FC Cologne	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	0	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Hamburg finish in last place in the Bundesliga 2026-27 season? · Hamburg	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	0	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Augsburg finish in last place in the Bundesliga 2026-27 season? · Augsburg	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	7%	0	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Dortmund finish in last place in the Bundesliga 2026-27 season? · Dortmund	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will Bayern Munich finish in last place in the Bundesliga 2026-27 season? · Bayern Munich	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC
Will M´gladbach finish in last place in the Bundesliga 2026-27 season? · M´gladbach	17¢	17%	1.0¢	—	34%	0	Jun 06, 02:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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