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C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth on Kalshi
If the Carbon Arc C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 121.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Carbon Arc.
Market says (typical open contract)
46%
Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
92% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 46¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.89 | 47.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 142 ? · Above 142 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 3,087 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 133.5 ? · Above 133.5 | 65¢ | 65% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 1,909 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 130.5 ? · Above 130.5 | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 1,569 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 138 ? · Above 138 | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 1,083 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 137 ? · Above 137 | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 1,075 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 121.5 ? · Above 121.5 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 935 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 124.5 ? · Above 124.5 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 510 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 139.5 ? · Above 139.5 | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 275 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 135.5 ? · Above 135.5 | 41¢ | 41% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 260 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 134.5 ? · Above 134.5 | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 200 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 127.5 ? · Above 127.5 | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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