What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 85¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $0.52.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 86% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 85%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Companies

Cava Annual KPI on Kalshi

If CAVA Group, Inc. reports Above 7% same restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Fiscal.ai.

Market says (typical open contract)

85%

Median YES price across 13 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

30% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
85¢ (now)	0.9¢	$0.53	85.9%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will CAVA Group Inc. report Above 515 total restaurants in fiscal 2026? · Above 515	82¢	82%	1.0¢	—	35%	1,639	May 26, 05:00 UTC
Will CAVA Group Inc. report Above 520 total restaurants in fiscal 2026? · Above 520	11¢	11%	0.7¢	—	21%	1,634	May 26, 05:00 UTC
Will CAVA Group Inc. report Above 505 total restaurants in fiscal 2026? · Above 505	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	3%	701	May 26, 05:00 UTC
Will CAVA Group Inc. report Above 500 total restaurants in fiscal 2026? · Above 500	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	651	May 26, 05:00 UTC
Will CAVA Group Inc. report Above 510 total restaurants in fiscal 2026? · Above 510	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	5%	483	May 26, 05:00 UTC
Will CAVA Group Inc. report Above 530 total restaurants in fiscal 2026? · Above 530	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	481	May 26, 05:00 UTC
Will CAVA Group Inc. report Above 525 total restaurants in fiscal 2026? · Above 525	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	269	May 26, 05:00 UTC
Will CAVA Group, Inc. report Above 6.5% same restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026? · Above 6.5%	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	95	Jun 03, 05:00 UTC
Will CAVA Group, Inc. report Above 7% same restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026? · Above 7%	13¢	13%	0.8¢	—	26%	0	Jun 03, 05:00 UTC
Will CAVA Group, Inc. report Above 6% same restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026? · Above 6%	85¢	85%	0.9¢	—	30%	0	Jun 03, 05:00 UTC
Will CAVA Group, Inc. report Above 5.5% same restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026? · Above 5.5%	95¢	95%	0.3¢	—	10%	0	Jun 03, 05:00 UTC
Will CAVA Group, Inc. report Above 5% same restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026? · Above 5%	97¢	97%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Jun 03, 05:00 UTC
Will CAVA Group, Inc. report Above 4.5% same restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026? · Above 4.5%	97¢	97%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Jun 03, 05:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.