Markets › Kalshi › Economics
Philippines interest rate decision on Kalshi
If Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas takes the action of maintain current rate at its December Meeting of the Monetary Board on the Monetary Policy Stance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, Trading Economics.
Market says (typical open contract)
25%
Median YES price across 5 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
50% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25¢ (now) | 1.3¢ | $2.63 | 26.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas cut more than 25bps at the December Meeting of the Monetary Board on the Monetary Policy Stance? · Cut more than 25bps | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 535 | Dec 17, 07:29 UTC |
| Will Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas cut 1-25bps at the December Meeting of the Monetary Board on the Monetary Policy Stance? · Cut 1-25bps | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 235 | Dec 17, 07:29 UTC |
| Will Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas maintain the current rate at the December Meeting of the Monetary Board on the Monetary Policy Stance? · Maintain current rate | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 0 | Dec 17, 07:29 UTC |
| Will Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas hike more than 25bps at the December Meeting of the Monetary Board on the Monetary Policy Stance? · Hike more than 25bps | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Dec 17, 07:29 UTC |
| Will Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas hike 1-25bps at the December Meeting of the Monetary Board on the Monetary Policy Stance? · Hike 1-25bps | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 0 | Dec 17, 07:29 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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