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Coeur mining annual kpi on Kalshi
If Coeur Mining, Inc. reports Above 575000 gold production in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coeur Mining, Inc. report Above 650000 gold production in fiscal 2026? · Above 650000 | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 330 | May 20, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Coeur Mining, Inc. report Above 675000 gold production in fiscal 2026? · Above 675000 | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 205 | May 20, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Coeur Mining, Inc. report Above 700000 gold production in fiscal 2026? · Above 700000 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 63 | May 20, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Coeur Mining, Inc. report Above 575000 gold production in fiscal 2026? · Above 575000 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | May 20, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Coeur Mining, Inc. report Above 600000 gold production in fiscal 2026? · Above 600000 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | May 20, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Coeur Mining, Inc. report Above 625000 gold production in fiscal 2026? · Above 625000 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | May 20, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Coeur Mining, Inc. report Above 750000 gold production in fiscal 2026? · Above 750000 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 20, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Coeur Mining, Inc. report Above 725000 gold production in fiscal 2026? · Above 725000 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 20, 05:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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