What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 3¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.40.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 3% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 3%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Chess.com Award Winners on Kalshi

If Zhu Jiner wins the 2026 Chess.com Woman Player of the Year award, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Chess.com.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 36 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

6% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
3¢ (now)	0.2¢	$3.40	3.2%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Bibisara Assaubayeva win the 2026 Chess.com Woman Player of the Year award? · Bibisara Assaubayeva	14¢	14%	0.8¢	—	27%	1,461	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 Chess.com Player of the Year award? · Javokhir Sindarov	76¢	76%	1.3¢	—	49%	1,065	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Vaishali Rameshbabu win the 2026 Chess.com Woman Player of the Year award? · Vaishali Rameshbabu	16¢	16%	0.9¢	—	31%	952	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Polina Shuvalova win the 2026 Chess.com Woman Player of the Year award? · Polina Shuvalova	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	16%	568	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 Chess.com Player of the Year award? · Gukesh Dommaraju	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	9%	423	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Lei Tingjie win the 2026 Chess.com Woman Player of the Year award? · Lei Tingjie	23¢	23%	1.2¢	—	46%	407	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Viswanathan Anand win the 2026 Chess.com Player of the Year award? · Viswanathan Anand	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	400	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Divya Deshmukh win the 2026 Chess.com Woman Player of the Year award? · Divya Deshmukh	21¢	21%	1.2¢	—	42%	397	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Zhu Jiner win the 2026 Chess.com Woman Player of the Year award? · Zhu Jiner	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	375	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2026 Chess.com Player of the Year award? · Magnus Carlsen	18¢	18%	1.0¢	—	35%	315	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa win the 2026 Chess.com Player of the Year award? · Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	187	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 Chess.com Player of the Year award? · Hikaru Nakamura	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	98	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Tan Zhongyi win the 2026 Chess.com Woman Player of the Year award? · Tan Zhongyi	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie/Co-Winners win the 2026 Chess.com Woman Player of the Year award? · Tie/Co-Winners	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Kateryna Lagno win the 2026 Chess.com Woman Player of the Year award? · Kateryna Lagno	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Koneru Humpy win the 2026 Chess.com Woman Player of the Year award? · Koneru Humpy	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Ju Wenjun win the 2026 Chess.com Woman Player of the Year award? · Ju Wenjun	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Hou Yifan win the 2026 Chess.com Woman Player of the Year award? · Hou Yifan	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Anna Muzychuk win the 2026 Chess.com Woman Player of the Year award? · Anna Muzychuk	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Alexandra Kosteniuk win the 2026 Chess.com Woman Player of the Year award? · Alexandra Kosteniuk	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Aleksandra Goryachkina win the 2026 Chess.com Woman Player of the Year award? · Aleksandra Goryachkina	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Wesley So win the 2026 Chess.com Player of the Year award? · Wesley So	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Wei Yi win the 2026 Chess.com Player of the Year award? · Wei Yi	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2026 Chess.com Player of the Year award? · Vincent Keymer	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie/Co-Winners win the 2026 Chess.com Player of the Year award? · Tie/Co-Winners	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2026 Chess.com Player of the Year award? · Nodirbek Abdusattorov	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Le Quang Liem win the 2026 Chess.com Player of the Year award? · Le Quang Liem	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Leinier Domínguez Pérez win the 2026 Chess.com Player of the Year award? · Leinier Domínguez Pérez	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Jorden Van Foreest win the 2026 Chess.com Player of the Year award? · Jorden Van Foreest	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Jan-Krzysztof Duda win the 2026 Chess.com Player of the Year award? · Jan-Krzysztof Duda	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Hans Moke Niemann win the 2026 Chess.com Player of the Year award? · Hans Moke Niemann	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 Chess.com Player of the Year award? · Fabiano Caruana	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Ding Liren win the 2026 Chess.com Player of the Year award? · Ding Liren	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 Chess.com Player of the Year award? · Anish Giri	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Chess.com Player of the Year award? · Alireza Firouzja	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2026 Chess.com Player of the Year award? · Arjun Erigaisi	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Feb 07, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.