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Fide Chess Rating Top Ranked Players on Kalshi
If Yu Yangyi is rated top 10 on the February 2027 FIDE Blitz Top Players (top 100 players) Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: FIDE World Top Players.
Market says (typical open contract)
16%
Median YES price across 360 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
31% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15¢ (now) | 0.9¢ | $2.98 | 15.9% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bibisara Assaubayeva be rated top 5 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Bibisara Assaubayeva | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 5,129 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Polina Shuvalova be rated top 10 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Polina Shuvalova | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 2,882 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lei Tingjie be rated top 5 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Lei Tingjie | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 2,724 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bibisara Assaubayeva be rated top 10 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Bibisara Assaubayeva | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 2,050 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Divya Deshmukh be rated top 10 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Divya Deshmukh | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 2,000 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Vaishali Rameshbabu be rated top 10 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Vaishali Rameshbabu | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 2,000 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Aleksandra Goryachkina be rated top 5 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Aleksandra Goryachkina | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 1,401 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kateryna Lagno be rated top 10 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Kateryna Lagno | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 1,006 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Koneru Humpy be rated top 10 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Koneru Humpy | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 1,000 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Koneru Humpy be rated top 5 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Koneru Humpy | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 800 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tan Zhongyi be rated top 5 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Tan Zhongyi | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 800 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mariya Muzychuk be rated top 10 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Mariya Muzychuk | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 800 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Anna Muzychuk be rated top 10 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Anna Muzychuk | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 635 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zhu Jiner be rated top 5 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Zhu Jiner | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 610 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ju Wenjun be rated top 5 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Ju Wenjun | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 610 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Daniil Dubov be rated top 5 on the FIDE Blitz Top Players Rating List in December 2026? · Daniil Dubov | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 601 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kateryna Lagno be rated top 5 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Kateryna Lagno | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 600 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Daniil Dubov be rated top 5 on the FIDE Blitz Top Players Rating List in January 2027? · Daniil Dubov | 73¢ | 73% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 600 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Carissa Yip be rated top 10 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Carissa Yip | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 600 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Wei Yi be rated top 10 on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Wei Yi | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 410 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nana Dzagnidze be rated top 10 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Nana Dzagnidze | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 400 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Aleksandra Goryachkina be rated top 5 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in January 2027? · Aleksandra Goryachkina | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 355 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa be rated top 5 on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 248 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura be rated top 5 on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List in January 2027? · Hikaru Nakamura | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 210 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zhu Jiner be rated top 10 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Zhu Jiner | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 210 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tan Zhongyi be rated top 10 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Tan Zhongyi | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 210 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lei Tingjie be rated top 10 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Lei Tingjie | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 210 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Aleksandra Goryachkina be rated top 10 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Aleksandra Goryachkina | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 206 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alireza Firouzja be rated top 5 on the FIDE Blitz Top Players Rating List in January 2027? · Alireza Firouzja | 86¢ | 86% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 205 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Aleksandra Goryachkina be rated top 5 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in February 2027? · Aleksandra Goryachkina | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 205 | Mar 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Anna Muzychuk be rated top 10 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in January 2027? · Anna Muzychuk | 88¢ | 88% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 205 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zhu Jiner be rated top 5 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in January 2027? · Zhu Jiner | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 205 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ju Wenjun be rated top 5 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in January 2027? · Ju Wenjun | 84¢ | 84% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 205 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ju Wenjun be rated top 10 on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Ju Wenjun | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 205 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov be rated top 10 on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Javokhir Sindarov | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 205 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura be rated top 10 on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List in December 2026? · Hikaru Nakamura | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 205 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Wesley So be rated top 10 on the FIDE Blitz Top Players Rating List in January 2027? · Wesley So | 73¢ | 73% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 200 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ian Nepomniachtchi be rated top 5 on the FIDE Blitz Top Players Rating List in January 2027? · Ian Nepomniachtchi | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 200 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura be rated top 5 on the FIDE Blitz Top Players Rating List in January 2027? · Hikaru Nakamura | 86¢ | 86% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 200 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Yu Yangyi be rated top 10 on the FIDE Blitz Top Players Rating List in December 2026? · Yu Yangyi | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 200 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 360 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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