Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment
CMA Award on Kalshi
If Tucker Wetmore wins New Artist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: CMA Awards.
Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 72 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
11% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6¢ (now) | 0.4¢ | $3.29 | 6.4% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ella Langley win Entertainer of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Ella Langley | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 8,864 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Choosin’ Texas win Single of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Choosin’ Texas | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 7,205 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Luke Combs win Entertainer of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Luke Combs | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 4,450 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win New Artist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Stephen Wilson Jr. | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 4,405 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tucker Wetmore win New Artist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Tucker Wetmore | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 4,196 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cody Johnson win Entertainer of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Cody Johnson | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 3,939 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lainey Wilson win Entertainer of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Lainey Wilson | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 2,813 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cody Johnson win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Cody Johnson | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 2,797 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dandelion win Album of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Dandelion | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 2,715 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · The Red Clay Strays | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 2,592 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will I Knew It, I Knew You win Single of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · I Knew It, I Knew You | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 2,400 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Old Dominion win Vocal Group of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Old Dominion | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 2,285 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie win Single of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Tie | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 2,260 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Emily Ann Roberts win New Artist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Emily Ann Roberts | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 2,193 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Ella Langley | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 1,984 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Paul Franklin win Musician of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Paul Franklin | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 1,887 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Somewhere Over Laredo win Single of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Somewhere Over Laredo | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 1,862 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gary win Music Video of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Gary | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 1,615 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Way I Am win Album of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · The Way I Am | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 1,567 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will I Can’t Love You Anymore win Musical Event of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · I Can’t Love You Anymore | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 1,449 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Luke Combs win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Luke Combs | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 1,444 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Choosin’ Texas win Music Video of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Choosin’ Texas | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 1,419 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Little Big Town win Vocal Group of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Little Big Town | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1,269 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will A Song To Sing win Musical Event of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · A Song To Sing | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 1,246 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brooks & Dunn win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Brooks & Dunn | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 1,231 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Carter Faith win New Artist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Carter Faith | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 1,211 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Choosin’ Texas win Song of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Choosin’ Texas | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 1,170 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Horses and Divorces win Musical Event of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Horses and Divorces | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 1,159 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Charlie Worsham win Musician of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Charlie Worsham | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 1,148 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jenee Fleenor win Musician of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Jenee Fleenor | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 1,049 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Be Her win Single of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Be Her | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 1,025 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chris Stapleton win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Chris Stapleton | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 823 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zach Top win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Zach Top | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 800 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Parker McCollum win Album of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Parker McCollum | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 793 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ain’t In It For My Health win Album of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Ain’t In It For My Health | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 777 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Miranda Lambert win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Miranda Lambert | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 676 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Stephen Wilson Jr. | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 645 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chris Stapleton win Entertainer of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Chris Stapleton | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 578 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Be Her win Song of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Be Her | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 577 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gary win Song of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards? · Gary | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 568 | Nov 18, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 72 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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