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College GameDay Location on Kalshi
If ESPN's College GameDay Week 12 Live Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happens in Waco, Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, College Gameday.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 36 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the College GameDay Week 11 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Blacksburg, Virginia? · Blacksburg, Virginia | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 530 | Nov 16, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 11 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Baton Rouge, Louisiana? · Baton Rouge, Louisiana | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 255 | Nov 16, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 11 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Athens, Georgia? · Athens, Georgia | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 203 | Nov 16, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 11 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Tucson, Arizona? · Tucson, Arizona | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 100 | Nov 16, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 11 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Dallas, Texas? · Dallas, Texas | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 100 | Nov 16, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 12 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Austin, Texas? · Austin, Texas | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 25 | Nov 23, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 12 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Columbia, South Carolina? · Columbia, South Carolina | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 10 | Nov 23, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 12 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Knoxville, Tennessee? · Knoxville, Tennessee | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 23, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 12 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Waco, Texas? · Waco, Texas | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 23, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 12 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in University Park, Pennsylvania? · University Park, Pennsylvania | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 23, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 12 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Seattle, Washington? · Seattle, Washington | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 23, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 12 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Notre Dame, Indiana? · Notre Dame, Indiana | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 23, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 12 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Norman, Oklahoma? · Norman, Oklahoma | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 23, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 12 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Morgantown, West Virginia? · Morgantown, West Virginia | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 23, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 12 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Miami Gardens, Florida? · Miami Gardens, Florida | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 23, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 12 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Louisville, Kentucky? · Louisville, Kentucky | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 23, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 12 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Lincoln, Nebraska? · Lincoln, Nebraska | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 23, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 12 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Lawrence, Kansas? · Lawrence, Kansas | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 23, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 12 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Los Angeles, California? · Los Angeles, California | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 23, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 12 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Fort Worth, Texas? · Fort Worth, Texas | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 23, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 12 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in East Lansing, Michigan? · East Lansing, Michigan | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 23, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 12 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Champaign, Illinois? · Champaign, Illinois | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 23, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 12 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Ann Arbor, Michigan? · Ann Arbor, Michigan | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 23, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 11 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in University Park, Pennsylvania? · University Park, Pennsylvania | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 16, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 11 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Stillwater, Oklahoma? · Stillwater, Oklahoma | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 16, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 11 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Provo, Utah? · Provo, Utah | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 16, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 11 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Norman, Oklahoma? · Norman, Oklahoma | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 16, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 11 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Nashville, Tennessee? · Nashville, Tennessee | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 16, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 11 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Miami Gardens, Florida? · Miami Gardens, Florida | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 16, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 11 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Eugene, Oregon? · Eugene, Oregon | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 16, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 11 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in East Lansing, Michigan? · East Lansing, Michigan | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 16, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 11 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Columbus, Ohio? · Columbus, Ohio | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 16, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 11 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in College Station, Texas? · College Station, Texas | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 16, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 11 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Chapel Hill, North Carolina? · Chapel Hill, North Carolina | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 16, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 11 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Boulder, Colorado? · Boulder, Colorado | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 16, 04:59 UTC |
| Will the College GameDay Week 11 Show for the 2026-27 College Football season happen in Bloomington, Indiana? · Bloomington, Indiana | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 16, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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