What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 80¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $0.70.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 81% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 80%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Politics

Lisa Cook Committee of Inquiry on Kalshi

If the Committee of Inquiry established by President Trump to investigate Lisa Cook recommends that there is cause to remove her from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: CBC, ABC, South China Morning Post, The Wall Street Journal, The Guardian, Bloomberg News, The Information, CBS, NBC, Axios, BBC, The Washington Post, CNN, Fox News, ABC News Australia, Semafor, MSNBC, the Associated Press, Reuters, Politico, the New York Times.

Market says (typical open contract)

80%

Median YES price across 1 open contract, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

40% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
80¢ (now)	1.1¢	$0.70	81.1%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Committee of Inquiry established by President Trump to investigate Lisa Cook recommends that there is cause to remove her from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Mar 1, 2027? · Before Mar 1, 2027	80¢	80%	1.1¢	—	40%	0	Mar 01, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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