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Critics Choice Award for Best TV Comedy Actor on Kalshi
If Zach Braff has won Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
4% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.43 | 2.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Allen win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tim Allen | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 46,223 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 19,369 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Matthew Rhys win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Matthew Rhys | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 5,776 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jeremy Allen White win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Jeremy Allen White | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 3,585 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Denis Leary win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Denis Leary | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,269 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jason Segel win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Jason Segel | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 961 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zach Braff win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Zach Braff | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 942 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Yahya Abdul-Mateen II win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Yahya Abdul-Mateen II | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 942 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Utkarsh Ambudkar win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Utkarsh Ambudkar | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 942 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tracy Morgan win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tracy Morgan | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 942 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Steve Carell win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Steve Carell | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 942 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Max Burkholder win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Max Burkholder | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 942 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jason Sudeikis win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Jason Sudeikis | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 942 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Josh Charles win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Josh Charles | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 942 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will David Alan Grier win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · David Alan Grier | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 942 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Adam Brody win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Adam Brody | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 942 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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