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Critics Choice Award for Best TV Comedy Supporting Actress on Kalshi
If Tie has won Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.
Market says (typical open contract)
3%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kate O’Flynn win Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Kate O’Flynn | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 4,409 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Hannah Einbinder win Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Hannah Einbinder | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 2,000 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Janelle James win Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Janelle James | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 210 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Michelle Pfeiffer win Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Michelle Pfeiffer | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 2 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie win Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sheryl Lee Ralph win Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Sheryl Lee Ralph | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Megan Stalter win Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Megan Stalter | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Laurie Metcalf win Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Laurie Metcalf | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Liza Colón-Zayas win Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Liza Colón-Zayas | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kerri Kenney-Silver win Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Kerri Kenney-Silver | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jessica Williams win Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Jessica Williams | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Juno Temple win Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Juno Temple | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Justine Lupe win Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Justine Lupe | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Hannah Waddingham win Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Hannah Waddingham | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dale Dickey win Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Dale Dickey | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Danielle Deadwyler win Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Danielle Deadwyler | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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