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Critics Choice Award for Best TV Drama Actor on Kalshi
If Zahn McClarnon has won Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.
Market says (typical open contract)
3%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sterling K. Brown win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Sterling K. Brown | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 1,659 | Jan 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Noah Wyle win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Noah Wyle | 73¢ | 73% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 1,500 | Jan 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sam Reid win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Sam Reid | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 23 | Jan 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jon Hamm win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Jon Hamm | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 15 | Jan 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zahn McClarnon win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Zahn McClarnon | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sam Heughan win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Sam Heughan | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Rufus Sewell win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Rufus Sewell | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Peter Claffey win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Peter Claffey | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Michael Fassbender win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Michael Fassbender | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Luke Thompson win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Luke Thompson | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Joel Kinnaman win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Joel Kinnaman | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Harold Perrineau win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Harold Perrineau | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gary Oldman win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Gary Oldman | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Billy Bob Thornton win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Billy Bob Thornton | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Aldis Hodge win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Aldis Hodge | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 04, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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