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Critics Choice Award for Best TV Drama Actress on Kalshi

If Zendaya has won Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.

Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
12% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
6¢ (now)0.4¢$3.296.4%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Melissa Roxburgh win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Melissa Roxburgh2¢2%0.1¢—3%41,289Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Keri Russell win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Keri Russell29¢29%1.4¢—58%2,303Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Carrie Coon win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Carrie Coon18¢18%1.1¢—37%174Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie2¢2%0.1¢—3%55Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Zendaya win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Zendaya10¢10%0.6¢—20%6Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Yerin Ha win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Yerin Ha6¢6%0.4¢—12%0Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Rebecca Ferguson win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Rebecca Ferguson6¢6%0.4¢—12%0Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Olivia Cooke win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Olivia Cooke6¢6%0.4¢—11%0Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Melissa O’Neil win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Melissa O’Neil6¢6%0.4¢—11%0Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Myha’la Herrold win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Myha’la Herrold8¢8%0.5¢—17%0Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Kathy Bates win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Kathy Bates6¢6%0.4¢—13%0Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Ella Purnell win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Ella Purnell6¢6%0.4¢—12%0Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Emma D’Arcy win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Emma D’Arcy6¢6%0.4¢—13%0Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Chase Infiniti win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Chase Infiniti6¢6%0.4¢—13%0Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Caitríona Balfe win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Caitríona Balfe6¢6%0.4¢—12%0Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Angela Bassett win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Angela Bassett6¢6%0.4¢—12%0Jan 03, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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