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Critics Choice Award for Best Supporting Actress on Kalshi
If Youn Yuh-jung has won Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Linda Cardellini win Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Linda Cardellini | 65¢ | 65% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 2,163 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Youn Yuh-jung win Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Youn Yuh-jung | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 211 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Martha Plimpton win Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Martha Plimpton | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 210 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Naomi Watts win Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Naomi Watts | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 3 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie win Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Samantha Sloyan win Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Samantha Sloyan | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Neve McIntosh win Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Neve McIntosh | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kate Mara win Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Kate Mara | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Joy Sunday win Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Joy Sunday | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jennifer Jason Leigh win Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Jennifer Jason Leigh | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jessica Henwick win Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Jessica Henwick | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grace Gummer win Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Grace Gummer | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Constance Zimmer win Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Constance Zimmer | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cailee Spaeny win Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Cailee Spaeny | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor win Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Annette Bening win Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Annette Bening | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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