Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment
Critics Choice Award for Best Supporting Actor on Kalshi
If Tie has won Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Paul Giamatti | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 7,255 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sam Rockwell win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Sam Rockwell | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 7,182 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Andrew Garfield win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Andrew Garfield | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 2,524 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Edward Norton | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 2,022 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Colman Domingo win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Colman Domingo | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 474 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will John Leguizamo win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · John Leguizamo | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 373 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Antonio Banderas win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Antonio Banderas | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 373 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jeremy Strong win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Jeremy Strong | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 331 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Adam Driver win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Adam Driver | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 331 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 272 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Steve Buscemi win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Steve Buscemi | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 272 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Robert Pattinson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 272 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Riz Ahmed win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Riz Ahmed | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 272 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mark Ruffalo win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Mark Ruffalo | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 272 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will John Goodman win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · John Goodman | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 272 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Channing Tatum win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Channing Tatum | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 272 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.