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Critics Choice Award for Best Supporting Actor on Kalshi

If Tie has won Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.

Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)0.1¢$3.471.1%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Paul Giamatti38¢38%1.6¢—76%7,255Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Sam Rockwell win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Sam Rockwell9¢9%0.6¢—18%7,182Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Andrew Garfield win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Andrew Garfield16¢16%1.0¢—33%2,524Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Edward Norton6¢6%0.4¢—13%2,022Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Colman Domingo win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Colman Domingo2¢2%0.1¢—3%474Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will John Leguizamo win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · John Leguizamo4¢4%0.3¢—9%373Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Antonio Banderas win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Antonio Banderas2¢2%0.1¢—3%373Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Jeremy Strong win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Jeremy Strong2¢2%0.1¢—3%331Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Adam Driver win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Adam Driver2¢2%0.1¢—3%331Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie2¢2%0.1¢—3%272Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Steve Buscemi win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Steve Buscemi2¢2%0.1¢—3%272Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Robert Pattinson2¢2%0.1¢—3%272Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Riz Ahmed win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Riz Ahmed2¢2%0.1¢—3%272Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Mark Ruffalo win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Mark Ruffalo2¢2%0.1¢—3%272Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will John Goodman win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · John Goodman2¢2%0.1¢—3%272Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Channing Tatum win Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Channing Tatum2¢2%0.1¢—3%272Jan 03, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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