What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.45.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 2% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

Critics Choice Award for Best Supporting Actress on Kalshi

If Amanda Seyfried has won Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 17 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

3% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Anne Hathaway	36¢	36%	1.6¢	—	73%	4,814	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Samantha Morton win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Samantha Morton	10¢	10%	0.6¢	—	19%	3,540	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Merritt Wever win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Merritt Wever	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,183	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Olivia Colman win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Olivia Colman	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,166	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Penélope Cruz	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,017	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Kate O’Flynn win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Kate O’Flynn	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	956	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Sandra Hüller win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Sandra Hüller	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	912	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Wunmi Mosaku	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	854	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	854	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Sophie Okonedo win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Sophie Okonedo	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	854	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Scarlett Johansson win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Scarlett Johansson	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	854	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Mariana Di Girolamo win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Mariana Di Girolamo	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	854	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Gemma Chan win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Gemma Chan	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	854	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Elizabeth Debicki win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Elizabeth Debicki	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	854	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Colleen Camp win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Colleen Camp	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	854	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Alice Bailey Johnson win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Alice Bailey Johnson	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	854	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Amanda Seyfried win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Amanda Seyfried	30¢	30%	1.5¢	—	59%	680	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.