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Counter-Strike 2 Map Winner on Kalshi
If RoundsGG wins map 2 in the Elisa Open Suomi 2026: RoundsGG vs. Nordic Valor CS2 match originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: B03, HLTV, Gamers World.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 160 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
95% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 48¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.82 | 49.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brute wins map 1 · Brute | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 9,134 | Nov 12, 09:00 UTC |
| ILLYRIANS wins map 1 · ILLYRIANS | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 4,748 | Nov 12, 09:00 UTC |
| Spirit wins map 1 · Spirit | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 2,040 | Nov 13, 07:00 UTC |
| BakS eSports wins map 2 · BakS eSports | 89¢ | 89% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 501 | Nov 12, 09:00 UTC |
| ex-RUSTEC wins map 2 · ex-RUSTEC | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 217 | Nov 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Copenhagen Wolves wins map 2 · Copenhagen Wolves | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 114 | Nov 12, 09:00 UTC |
| Isurus wins map 2 · Isurus | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 110 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Isurus wins map 1 · Isurus | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 102 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| RED Canids Academy wins map 2 · RED Canids Academy | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 83 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Team Falcons wins map 1 · Team Falcons | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 36 | Nov 13, 04:30 UTC |
| Azuolas wins map 2 · Azuolas | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 27 | Nov 12, 09:00 UTC |
| FUT Esports wins map 1 · FUT Esports | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 22 | Nov 13, 07:00 UTC |
| ex-RUSTEC wins map 1 · ex-RUSTEC | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 18 | Nov 12, 15:00 UTC |
| MOUZ wins map 1 · MOUZ | 69¢ | 69% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 7 | Nov 13, 09:30 UTC |
| MOUZ wins map 2 · MOUZ | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 6 | Nov 13, 09:30 UTC |
| Bad Beavers wins map 2 · Bad Beavers | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 5 | Nov 12, 09:00 UTC |
| ex-Zero Tenacity wins map 2 · ex-Zero Tenacity | 63¢ | 63% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 1 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| FORZE Reload wins map 1 · FORZE Reload | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 1 | Nov 12, 11:30 UTC |
| megoshort wins map 1 · megoshort | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 0 | Nov 12, 18:00 UTC |
| maybe wins map 2 · maybe | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Nov 12, 15:00 UTC |
| The Last Resort wins map 2 · The Last Resort | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 0 | Nov 13, 18:00 UTC |
| Walczaki wins map 1 · Walczaki | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 0 | Nov 13, 18:00 UTC |
| The Last Resort wins map 1 · The Last Resort | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 0 | Nov 13, 18:00 UTC |
| MASONIC wins map 2 · MASONIC | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 0 | Nov 13, 15:00 UTC |
| MASONIC wins map 1 · MASONIC | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Nov 13, 15:00 UTC |
| FORZE Reload wins map 1 · FORZE Reload | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Nov 13, 15:00 UTC |
| ex-RUSTEC wins map 2 · ex-RUSTEC | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 0 | Nov 13, 09:00 UTC |
| ex-RUSTEC wins map 1 · ex-RUSTEC | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 13, 09:00 UTC |
| Honvéd wins map 1 · Honvéd | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Butterfly wins map 1 · Butterfly | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 0 | Nov 12, 15:00 UTC |
| megoshort wins map 2 · megoshort | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Nov 12, 18:00 UTC |
| The Last Resort wins map 1 · The Last Resort | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 12, 18:00 UTC |
| Nexus wins map 1 · Nexus | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Nov 13, 15:00 UTC |
| BakS eSports wins map 1 · BakS eSports | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 15:00 UTC |
| Nexus wins map 2 · Nexus | 61¢ | 61% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 0 | Nov 13, 12:00 UTC |
| MOUZ NXT wins map 2 · MOUZ NXT | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Nov 13, 12:00 UTC |
| Inner Circle Academy wins map 2 · Inner Circle Academy | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 0 | Nov 13, 12:00 UTC |
| Inner Circle Academy wins map 1 · Inner Circle Academy | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 0 | Nov 13, 12:00 UTC |
| GenOne wins map 1 · GenOne | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 0 | Nov 13, 12:00 UTC |
| Team ACES wins map 2 · Team ACES | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 160 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.