What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.49.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 0% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Elections

Democratic House seats on Kalshi

If the Democratic party has above 249 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: United States Congress.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 12 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

0% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will the Democratic party win above 249 House seats in the 120th Congress? · Above 249	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	2,341,421	Feb 01, 15:00 UTC
Will the Democratic party win below 210 House seats in the 120th Congress? · Below 210	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,219,236	Feb 01, 15:00 UTC
Will the Democratic party win 246-249 House seats in the 120th Congress? · 246-249	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,124,292	Feb 01, 15:00 UTC
Will the Democratic party win 242-245 House seats in the 120th Congress? · 242-245	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,086,102	Feb 01, 15:00 UTC
Will the Democratic party win 218-221 House seats in the 120th Congress? · 218-221	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	0%	729,424	Feb 01, 15:00 UTC
Will the Democratic party win 238-241 House seats in the 120th Congress? · 238-241	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	0%	701,161	Feb 01, 15:00 UTC
Will the Democratic party win 214-217 House seats in the 120th Congress? · 214-217	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	0%	699,821	Feb 01, 15:00 UTC
Will the Democratic party win 234-237 House seats in the 120th Congress? · 234-237	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	0%	682,314	Feb 01, 15:00 UTC
Will the Democratic party win 210-213 House seats in the 120th Congress? · 210-213	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	0%	679,550	Feb 01, 15:00 UTC
Will the Democratic party win 222-225 House seats in the 120th Congress? · 222-225	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	0%	645,898	Feb 01, 15:00 UTC
Will the Democratic party win 230-233 House seats in the 120th Congress? · 230-233	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	0%	638,452	Feb 01, 15:00 UTC
Will the Democratic party win 226-229 House seats in the 120th Congress? · 226-229	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	0%	616,137	Feb 01, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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