Markets › Kalshi › Financials
DJI Hourly on Kalshi
If the value of the Index.US30/USD is at least $53,300 at November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Pyth.
Market says (typical open contract)
72%
Median YES price across 77 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
56% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 72¢ (now) | 1.4¢ | $0.98 | 73.4% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,700 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,700 | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 4,036 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,800 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,800 | 41¢ | 41% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 2,696 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,550 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,550 | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 1,344 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 53,300 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $53,300 | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 53,275 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $53,275 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 53,250 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $53,250 | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 53,225 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $53,225 | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 53,200 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $53,200 | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 53,175 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $53,175 | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 53,150 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $53,150 | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 53,125 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $53,125 | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 53,100 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $53,100 | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 53,075 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $53,075 | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 53,050 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $53,050 | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 53,025 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $53,025 | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 53,000 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $53,000 | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,975 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,975 | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,950 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,950 | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,925 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,925 | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,900 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,900 | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,875 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,875 | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,850 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,850 | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,825 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,825 | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,775 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,775 | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,750 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,750 | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,725 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,725 | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,675 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,675 | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,650 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,650 | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,625 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,625 | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,600 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,600 | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,575 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,575 | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,525 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,525 | 61¢ | 61% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,500 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,500 | 63¢ | 63% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,475 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,475 | 65¢ | 65% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,450 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,450 | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,425 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,425 | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,400 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,400 | 69¢ | 69% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,375 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,375 | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,350 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,350 | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
| Dow Jones price: At least 52,325 November 10, 2026 at 4pm ET · At least $52,325 | 73¢ | 73% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 0 | Nov 10, 20:59 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 77 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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