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Dota 2 Map Winner on Kalshi
If Zero Tenacity wins map 2 in the DreamLeague Division 2 2026: Inner Circle vs. Zero Tenacity Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: BO3, DLTV, Gamers World.
Market says (typical open contract)
44%
Median YES price across 152 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
87% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 43¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $2.00 | 44.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEGION wins map 1 · LEGION | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 331 | Nov 12, 10:00 UTC |
| Yellow Submarine wins map 1 · Yellow Submarine | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 85 | Nov 12, 10:00 UTC |
| Team Allied wins map 2 · Team Allied | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 18 | Nov 12, 10:00 UTC |
| Time to Sleep wins map 1 · Time to Sleep | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 10 | Nov 12, 10:00 UTC |
| PlayTime wins map 2 · PlayTime | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 2 | Nov 12, 10:00 UTC |
| PlayTime wins map 1 · PlayTime | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 2 | Nov 12, 10:00 UTC |
| Time to Sleep wins map 2 · Time to Sleep | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 2 | Nov 12, 10:00 UTC |
| Zero Tenacity wins map 2 · Zero Tenacity | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 1 | Nov 12, 13:00 UTC |
| Zero Tenacity wins map 1 · Zero Tenacity | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 1 | Nov 12, 13:00 UTC |
| Xipto Esports wins map 2 · Xipto Esports | 74¢ | 74% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 1 | Nov 12, 10:00 UTC |
| Zero Tenacity wins map 2 · Zero Tenacity | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Nov 12, 13:00 UTC |
| Inner Circle wins map 2 · Inner Circle | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 0 | Nov 12, 13:00 UTC |
| Zero Tenacity wins map 1 · Zero Tenacity | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 0 | Nov 12, 13:00 UTC |
| Inner Circle wins map 1 · Inner Circle | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 0 | Nov 12, 13:00 UTC |
| Rottweilas Latam wins map 2 · Rottweilas Latam | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 0 | Nov 12, 18:00 UTC |
| Mena Warriors wins map 2 · Mena Warriors | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 0 | Nov 12, 18:00 UTC |
| Rottweilas Latam wins map 1 · Rottweilas Latam | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 0 | Nov 12, 18:00 UTC |
| Mena Warriors wins map 1 · Mena Warriors | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 0 | Nov 12, 18:00 UTC |
| Xipto Esports wins map 2 · Xipto Esports | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Nov 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Mena Warriors wins map 2 · Mena Warriors | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Nov 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Xipto Esports wins map 1 · Xipto Esports | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Nov 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Mena Warriors wins map 1 · Mena Warriors | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Nov 12, 15:00 UTC |
| oveA wins map 2 · oveA | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| Level Up Academy wins map 2 · Level Up Academy | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| oveA wins map 1 · oveA | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| Level Up Academy wins map 1 · Level Up Academy | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| Time to Sleep wins map 2 · Time to Sleep | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:00 UTC |
| CyberHero wins map 2 · CyberHero | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:00 UTC |
| Time to Sleep wins map 1 · Time to Sleep | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:00 UTC |
| CyberHero wins map 1 · CyberHero | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:00 UTC |
| Team Synapse wins map 2 · Team Synapse | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:00 UTC |
| Team Lynx wins map 2 · Team Lynx | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:00 UTC |
| Team Synapse wins map 1 · Team Synapse | 41¢ | 41% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:00 UTC |
| Team Lynx wins map 1 · Team Lynx | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:00 UTC |
| Xipto Esports wins map 2 · Xipto Esports | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 0 | Nov 13, 13:00 UTC |
| Inner Circle wins map 2 · Inner Circle | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 0 | Nov 13, 13:00 UTC |
| Xipto Esports wins map 1 · Xipto Esports | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 0 | Nov 13, 13:00 UTC |
| Inner Circle wins map 1 · Inner Circle | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 0 | Nov 13, 13:00 UTC |
| Power Rangers wins map 2 · Power Rangers | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:00 UTC |
| potn9ki wins map 2 · potn9ki | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 152 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.