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Markets › Kalshi › Sports

DP World Tour R1 Leader on Kalshi

If Yuto Katsuragawa is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 DP World Tour Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, DP World Tour.

Market says (typical open contract)
1%
Median YES price across 50 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
2% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)0.1¢$3.471.1%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Adrian Otaegui leads at the end of Round 1 · Adrian Otaegui1¢1%0.0¢—1%3,001Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Tyrrell Hatton leads at the end of Round 1 · Tyrrell Hatton2¢2%0.2¢—5%2,042Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Rory McIlroy leads at the end of Round 1 · Rory McIlroy6¢6%0.4¢—12%86Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Angel Hidalgo leads at the end of Round 1 · Angel Hidalgo1¢1%0.1¢—2%19Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Yuto Katsuragawa leads at the end of Round 1 · Yuto Katsuragawa1¢1%0.0¢—1%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Victor Perez leads at the end of Round 1 · Victor Perez1¢1%0.1¢—3%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Thriston Lawrence leads at the end of Round 1 · Thriston Lawrence1¢1%0.0¢—1%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Tommy Fleetwood leads at the end of Round 1 · Tommy Fleetwood3¢3%0.2¢—5%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Shaun Norris leads at the end of Round 1 · Shaun Norris1¢1%0.0¢—1%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Ryan Fox leads at the end of Round 1 · Ryan Fox1¢1%0.1¢—3%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Patrick Reed leads at the end of Round 1 · Patrick Reed2¢2%0.1¢—3%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Oliver Lindell leads at the end of Round 1 · Oliver Lindell1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Niklas Norgaard leads at the end of Round 1 · Niklas Norgaard1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Nacho Elvira leads at the end of Round 1 · Nacho Elvira1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Matt Wallace leads at the end of Round 1 · Matt Wallace2¢2%0.1¢—3%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Mikael Lindberg leads at the end of Round 1 · Mikael Lindberg1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Matthew Jordan leads at the end of Round 1 · Matthew Jordan1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Manuel Elvira leads at the end of Round 1 · Manuel Elvira1¢1%0.0¢—1%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Martin Couvra leads at the end of Round 1 · Martin Couvra1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Marcus Armitage leads at the end of Round 1 · Marcus Armitage1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Kristoffer Reitan leads at the end of Round 1 · Kristoffer Reitan2¢2%0.1¢—3%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Kota Kaneko leads at the end of Round 1 · Kota Kaneko1¢1%0.0¢—1%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Jeff Winther leads at the end of Round 1 · Jeff Winther1¢1%0.0¢—1%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Jayden Schaper leads at the end of Round 1 · Jayden Schaper1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Jon Rahm leads at the end of Round 1 · Jon Rahm4¢4%0.2¢—7%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Jacob Skov Olesen leads at the end of Round 1 · Jacob Skov Olesen1¢1%0.1¢—3%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Joost Luiten leads at the end of Round 1 · Joost Luiten1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Julien Guerrier leads at the end of Round 1 · Julien Guerrier1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Joe Dean leads at the end of Round 1 · Joe Dean1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Jorge Campillo leads at the end of Round 1 · Jorge Campillo1¢1%0.0¢—1%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Hennie Du Plessis leads at the end of Round 1 · Hennie Du Plessis1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Grant Forrest leads at the end of Round 1 · Grant Forrest1¢1%0.0¢—1%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Gregorio De Leo leads at the end of Round 1 · Gregorio De Leo1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Freddy Schott leads at the end of Round 1 · Freddy Schott1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Francesco Laporta leads at the end of Round 1 · Francesco Laporta1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Frederic Lacroix leads at the end of Round 1 · Frederic Lacroix1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra leads at the end of Round 1 · Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra2¢2%0.1¢—4%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Ewen Ferguson leads at the end of Round 1 · Ewen Ferguson1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
David Puig leads at the end of Round 1 · David Puig2¢2%0.1¢—3%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Daniel Hillier leads at the end of Round 1 · Daniel Hillier2¢2%0.1¢—4%0Nov 29, 00:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 50 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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