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Who will DSA endorse for president? on Kalshi
If the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization publicly endorses Shawn Fain in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Democratic Socialists of America.
Market says (typical open contract)
5%
Median YES price across 6 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
10% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.33 | 5.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 563 | Mar 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Shawn Fain in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028? · Shawn Fain | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Mar 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Rashida Tlaib in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028? · Rashida Tlaib | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Mar 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Ro Khanna in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028? · Ro Khanna | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Mar 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse no one in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028? · No one | 41¢ | 41% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 0 | Mar 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization endorse Bernie Sanders in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028? · Bernie Sanders | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Mar 01, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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