What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 72¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.00.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 73% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 72%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Mentions

Abercrombie on Kalshi

If Vintage / Archive is said by any Abercrombie & Fitch Company representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Abercrombie & Fitch Company live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Investor Events.

Market says (typical open contract)

72%

Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

57% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
72¢ (now)	1.4¢	$0.98	73.4%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
What will Abercrombie & Fitch Company say during their next earnings call? · Gigi Perez	18¢	18%	1.0¢	—	36%	351	Feb 22, 13:30 UTC
What will Abercrombie & Fitch Company say during their next earnings call? · Tariff	87¢	87%	0.8¢	—	26%	296	Feb 22, 13:30 UTC
What will Abercrombie & Fitch Company say during their next earnings call? · Sperry	40¢	40%	1.7¢	—	79%	276	Feb 22, 13:30 UTC
What will Abercrombie & Fitch Company say during their next earnings call? · NFL	70¢	70%	1.5¢	—	61%	267	Feb 22, 13:30 UTC
What will Abercrombie & Fitch Company say during their next earnings call? · Closure	86¢	86%	0.8¢	—	27%	162	Feb 22, 13:30 UTC
What will Abercrombie & Fitch Company say during their next earnings call? · Consecutive	88¢	88%	0.7¢	—	24%	105	Feb 22, 13:30 UTC
What will Abercrombie & Fitch Company say during their next earnings call? · International	60¢	60%	1.7¢	—	81%	105	Feb 22, 13:30 UTC
What will Abercrombie & Fitch Company say during their next earnings call? · Baby / Toddler	72¢	72%	1.4¢	—	57%	105	Feb 22, 13:30 UTC
What will Abercrombie & Fitch Company say during their next earnings call? · Target	76¢	76%	1.3¢	—	48%	100	Feb 22, 13:30 UTC
What will Abercrombie & Fitch Company say during their next earnings call? · Vintage / Archive	10¢	10%	0.6¢	—	19%	86	Feb 22, 13:30 UTC
What will Abercrombie & Fitch Company say during their next earnings call? · Taco Bell	20¢	20%	1.1¢	—	39%	86	Feb 22, 13:30 UTC
What will Abercrombie & Fitch Company say during their next earnings call? · Luxury	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	23%	86	Feb 22, 13:30 UTC
What will Abercrombie & Fitch Company say during their next earnings call? · Headwind	85¢	85%	0.9¢	—	30%	0	Feb 22, 13:30 UTC
What will Abercrombie & Fitch Company say during their next earnings call? · AI / Artificial Intelligence	75¢	75%	1.3¢	—	50%	0	Feb 22, 13:30 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.