What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 70¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.03.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 72% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 70%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Mentions

BJ's Wholesale Club Earnings Call on Kalshi

If Wellesley Farms is said by any BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. Investor Events.

Market says (typical open contract)

70%

Median YES price across 12 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

59% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
71¢ (now)	1.4¢	$1.02	72.4%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
What will BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Fuel / Gasoline	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	13%	682	Feb 18, 13:30 UTC
What will BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Digital	90¢	90%	0.6¢	—	19%	189	Feb 18, 13:30 UTC
What will BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Renewal Rate	80¢	80%	1.1¢	—	39%	156	Feb 18, 13:30 UTC
What will BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Own Brand	77¢	77%	1.2¢	—	45%	127	Feb 18, 13:30 UTC
What will BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Rotterdam	70¢	70%	1.5¢	—	59%	110	Feb 18, 13:30 UTC
What will BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · ExpressPay	89¢	89%	0.7¢	—	22%	107	Feb 18, 13:30 UTC
What will BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Wellesley Farms	15¢	15%	0.9¢	—	30%	93	Feb 18, 13:30 UTC
What will BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Tally	14¢	14%	0.8¢	—	28%	68	Feb 18, 13:30 UTC
What will BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Curbside	37¢	37%	1.6¢	—	74%	63	Feb 18, 13:30 UTC
What will BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Egg	33¢	33%	1.5¢	—	66%	0	Feb 18, 13:30 UTC
What will BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Diesel	22¢	22%	1.2¢	—	44%	0	Feb 18, 13:30 UTC
What will BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Ask Bev	17¢	17%	1.0¢	—	34%	0	Feb 18, 13:30 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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