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GM on Kalshi
If Trump / Administration is said by any General Motors Company representative (including the operator of the call) during the next General Motors Company live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: General Motors Company Investor Events.
Market says (typical open contract)
76%
Median YES price across 13 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
48% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 76¢ (now) | 1.3¢ | $0.84 | 77.3% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| What will General Motors Company say during their next earnings call? · Battery | 90¢ | 90% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 155 | Apr 27, 13:30 UTC |
| What will General Motors Company say during their next earnings call? · EV / Electric | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 150 | Apr 27, 13:30 UTC |
| What will General Motors Company say during their next earnings call? · Super Cruise | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 48 | Apr 27, 13:30 UTC |
| What will General Motors Company say during their next earnings call? · China | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 47 | Apr 27, 13:30 UTC |
| What will General Motors Company say during their next earnings call? · Tariff | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 46 | Apr 27, 13:30 UTC |
| What will General Motors Company say during their next earnings call? · OnStar | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 43 | Apr 27, 13:30 UTC |
| What will General Motors Company say during their next earnings call? · Buyback / Buy Back | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 11 | Apr 27, 13:30 UTC |
| What will General Motors Company say during their next earnings call? · Trump / Administration | 75¢ | 75% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Apr 27, 13:30 UTC |
| What will General Motors Company say during their next earnings call? · Subscription | 65¢ | 65% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Apr 27, 13:30 UTC |
| What will General Motors Company say during their next earnings call? · Mexico | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Apr 27, 13:30 UTC |
| What will General Motors Company say during their next earnings call? · Inflation | 91¢ | 91% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Apr 27, 13:30 UTC |
| What will General Motors Company say during their next earnings call? · Domestic | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 0 | Apr 27, 13:30 UTC |
| What will General Motors Company say during their next earnings call? · Autonomous | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 0 | Apr 27, 13:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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