What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 58¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.47.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 60% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 58%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Mentions

Lockheed Martin Earnings Call on Kalshi

If Venture Fund is said by any Lockheed Martin Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Lockheed Martin Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Lockheed Martin Corporation Investor Events.

Market says (typical open contract)

58%

Median YES price across 13 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

84% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
58¢ (now)	1.7¢	$1.47	59.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
What will Lockheed Martin Corporation say during their next earnings call? · Sikorsky	74¢	74%	1.3¢	—	51%	265	Apr 28, 13:30 UTC
What will Lockheed Martin Corporation say during their next earnings call? · F-35	95¢	95%	0.3¢	—	10%	120	Apr 28, 13:30 UTC
What will Lockheed Martin Corporation say during their next earnings call? · Hadrian	64¢	64%	1.6¢	—	72%	64	Apr 28, 13:30 UTC
What will Lockheed Martin Corporation say during their next earnings call? · NASA	32¢	32%	1.5¢	—	64%	13	Apr 28, 13:30 UTC
What will Lockheed Martin Corporation say during their next earnings call? · Venture Fund	44¢	44%	1.7¢	—	87%	5	Apr 28, 13:30 UTC
What will Lockheed Martin Corporation say during their next earnings call? · Orion	16¢	16%	0.9¢	—	31%	1	Apr 28, 13:30 UTC
What will Lockheed Martin Corporation say during their next earnings call? · Satellite	59¢	59%	1.7¢	—	82%	0	Apr 28, 13:30 UTC
What will Lockheed Martin Corporation say during their next earnings call? · Morfius	58¢	58%	1.7¢	—	84%	0	Apr 28, 13:30 UTC
What will Lockheed Martin Corporation say during their next earnings call? · Iran / Middle East	58¢	58%	1.7¢	—	84%	0	Apr 28, 13:30 UTC
What will Lockheed Martin Corporation say during their next earnings call? · Golden Dome	89¢	89%	0.7¢	—	22%	0	Apr 28, 13:30 UTC
What will Lockheed Martin Corporation say during their next earnings call? · Europe / European	84¢	84%	0.9¢	—	32%	0	Apr 28, 13:30 UTC
What will Lockheed Martin Corporation say during their next earnings call? · DARPA	40¢	40%	1.7¢	—	80%	0	Apr 28, 13:30 UTC
What will Lockheed Martin Corporation say during their next earnings call? · Boeing	55¢	55%	1.7¢	—	90%	0	Apr 28, 13:30 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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