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McCormick on Kalshi
If Unilever is said by any McCormick & Company, Incorporated representative (including the operator of the call) during the next McCormick & Company, Incorporated live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: McCormick Investor Events.
Market says (typical open contract)
80%
Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
40% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 80¢ (now) | 1.1¢ | $0.70 | 81.1% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| What will McCormick & Company, Incorporated say during their next earnings call? · Hot Sauce | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 304 | May 12, 15:00 UTC |
| What will McCormick & Company, Incorporated say during their next earnings call? · Frank's RedHot | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 56 | May 12, 15:00 UTC |
| What will McCormick & Company, Incorporated say during their next earnings call? · China / Chinese | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 56 | May 12, 15:00 UTC |
| What will McCormick & Company, Incorporated say during their next earnings call? · Cholula | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 20 | May 12, 15:00 UTC |
| What will McCormick & Company, Incorporated say during their next earnings call? · Integration | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 8 | May 12, 15:00 UTC |
| What will McCormick & Company, Incorporated say during their next earnings call? · Unilever | 82¢ | 82% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 1 | May 12, 15:00 UTC |
| What will McCormick & Company, Incorporated say during their next earnings call? · Tariff | 86¢ | 86% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 0 | May 12, 15:00 UTC |
| What will McCormick & Company, Incorporated say during their next earnings call? · Synergy | 88¢ | 88% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | May 12, 15:00 UTC |
| What will McCormick & Company, Incorporated say during their next earnings call? · Mexico | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | May 12, 15:00 UTC |
| What will McCormick & Company, Incorporated say during their next earnings call? · Maille | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | May 12, 15:00 UTC |
| What will McCormick & Company, Incorporated say during their next earnings call? · Knorr | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | May 12, 15:00 UTC |
| What will McCormick & Company, Incorporated say during their next earnings call? · Hydration | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | May 12, 15:00 UTC |
| What will McCormick & Company, Incorporated say during their next earnings call? · Hellmann | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 0 | May 12, 15:00 UTC |
| What will McCormick & Company, Incorporated say during their next earnings call? · Ducros | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 0 | May 12, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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