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Palo Alto Networks Earnings Call on Kalshi
If XSIAM is said by any Palo Alto Networks representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Palo Alto Networks live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Palo Alto Networks, Inc. Investor Events.
Market says (typical open contract)
46%
Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
92% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 46¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.89 | 47.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| What will Palo Alto Networks say during their next earnings call? · Frontier | 81¢ | 81% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 4,117 | Feb 16, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Palo Alto Networks say during their next earnings call? · XSIAM | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 2,445 | Feb 16, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Palo Alto Networks say during their next earnings call? · Cortex Cloud | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 580 | Feb 16, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Palo Alto Networks say during their next earnings call? · Nvidia | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 201 | Feb 16, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Palo Alto Networks say during their next earnings call? · Protect AI | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 120 | Feb 16, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Palo Alto Networks say during their next earnings call? · Tariff | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 84 | Feb 16, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Palo Alto Networks say during their next earnings call? · QRadar | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 71 | Feb 16, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Palo Alto Networks say during their next earnings call? · Headwind | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 65 | Feb 16, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Palo Alto Networks say during their next earnings call? · Mythos | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 22 | Feb 16, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Palo Alto Networks say during their next earnings call? · Open Source | 67¢ | 67% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Feb 16, 21:30 UTC |
| What will Palo Alto Networks say during their next earnings call? · Tailwind | 71¢ | 71% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Feb 16, 21:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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