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United Airlines Earnings Mention on Kalshi
If Weather is said by any United Airlines Holdings, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next United Airlines Holdings, Inc. live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Investor Events.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 66¢ (now) | 1.6¢ | $1.19 | 67.6% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Holiday | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 247 | Apr 20, 15:30 UTC |
| What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Basic Economy | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 123 | Apr 20, 15:30 UTC |
| What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Starlink | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 63 | Apr 20, 15:30 UTC |
| What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Weather | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 20 | Apr 20, 15:30 UTC |
| What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Newark | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 12 | Apr 20, 15:30 UTC |
| What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · ATC / Air Traffic Control | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 7 | Apr 20, 15:30 UTC |
| What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Tariff | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 6 | Apr 20, 15:30 UTC |
| What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Nonstop / Non-Stop | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 3 | Apr 20, 15:30 UTC |
| What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Shutdown / Shut Down | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 1 | Apr 20, 15:30 UTC |
| What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Relax Row | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 0 | Apr 20, 15:30 UTC |
| What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Oil | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Apr 20, 15:30 UTC |
| What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Iran / Middle East | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Apr 20, 15:30 UTC |
| What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Coastliner | 79¢ | 79% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 0 | Apr 20, 15:30 UTC |
| What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Chase | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 0 | Apr 20, 15:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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