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Wells Fargo on Kalshi
If Tokenized Deposit is said by any Wells Fargo & Company representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Wells Fargo & Company live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Wells Fargo & Company Investor Events.
Market says (typical open contract)
64%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
71% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 65¢ (now) | 1.6¢ | $1.23 | 66.6% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| What will Wells Fargo & Company say during their next earnings call? · AI / Artificial Intelligence | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 200 | Apr 14, 15:00 UTC |
| What will Wells Fargo & Company say during their next earnings call? · Iran / Middle East | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 190 | Apr 14, 15:00 UTC |
| What will Wells Fargo & Company say during their next earnings call? · Tokenized Deposit | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 142 | Apr 14, 15:00 UTC |
| What will Wells Fargo & Company say during their next earnings call? · Basel 3 | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 113 | Apr 14, 15:00 UTC |
| What will Wells Fargo & Company say during their next earnings call? · Credit Card | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 100 | Apr 14, 15:00 UTC |
| What will Wells Fargo & Company say during their next earnings call? · Premier | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 22 | Apr 14, 15:00 UTC |
| What will Wells Fargo & Company say during their next earnings call? · Buyback / Buy Back | 74¢ | 74% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 15 | Apr 14, 15:00 UTC |
| What will Wells Fargo & Company say during their next earnings call? · Middle Market | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 11 | Apr 14, 15:00 UTC |
| What will Wells Fargo & Company say during their next earnings call? · Severance | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 1 | Apr 14, 15:00 UTC |
| What will Wells Fargo & Company say during their next earnings call? · Tariff | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 0 | Apr 14, 15:00 UTC |
| What will Wells Fargo & Company say during their next earnings call? · Private Equity | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Apr 14, 15:00 UTC |
| What will Wells Fargo & Company say during their next earnings call? · Inflation | 83¢ | 83% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 0 | Apr 14, 15:00 UTC |
| What will Wells Fargo & Company say during their next earnings call? · Headwind | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 0 | Apr 14, 15:00 UTC |
| What will Wells Fargo & Company say during their next earnings call? · Delinquency | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Apr 14, 15:00 UTC |
| What will Wells Fargo & Company say during their next earnings call? · Consecutive | 91¢ | 91% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Apr 14, 15:00 UTC |
| What will Wells Fargo & Company say during their next earnings call? · Aladdin | 33¢ | 33% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Apr 14, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.