What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 50¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.77.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 51% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 50%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

EFL Trophy Total on Kalshi

If over 5.5 goals are scored in the Bromley vs Milton Keynes professional EFL Trophy soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Fox Sports, ESPN.

Market says (typical open contract)

50%

Median YES price across 72 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

99% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
49¢ (now)	1.7¢	$1.79	50.7%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will over 0.5 goals be scored? · Over 0.5 goals scored	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	8%	3,083	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 0.5 goals be scored? · Over 0.5 goals scored	92¢	92%	0.5¢	—	15%	2,505	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 0.5 goals be scored? · Over 0.5 goals scored	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	8%	1,787	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 0.5 goals be scored? · Over 0.5 goals scored	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	13%	1,661	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 0.5 goals be scored? · Over 0.5 goals scored	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	9%	1,580	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 0.5 goals be scored? · Over 0.5 goals scored	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	8%	875	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	52¢	52%	1.7¢	—	95%	641	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 1.5 goals be scored? · Over 1.5 goals scored	77¢	77%	1.2¢	—	46%	622	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 3.5 goals be scored? · Over 3.5 goals scored	49¢	49%	1.7¢	—	98%	570	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	62¢	62%	1.7¢	—	77%	521	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 3.5 goals be scored? · Over 3.5 goals scored	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	281	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	67¢	67%	1.5¢	—	66%	157	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 3.5 goals be scored? · Over 3.5 goals scored	46¢	46%	1.7¢	—	92%	44	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 3.5 goals be scored? · Over 3.5 goals scored	44¢	44%	1.7¢	—	89%	34	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	66¢	66%	1.6¢	—	69%	27	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	66¢	66%	1.6¢	—	69%	23	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 5.5 goals be scored? · Over 5.5 goals scored	22¢	22%	1.2¢	—	45%	11	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	70¢	70%	1.5¢	—	61%	10	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	70¢	70%	1.5¢	—	60%	9	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	71¢	71%	1.4¢	—	58%	8	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	63¢	63%	1.6¢	—	74%	6	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 3.5 goals be scored? · Over 3.5 goals scored	40¢	40%	1.7¢	—	80%	6	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	68¢	68%	1.5¢	—	64%	5	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 4.5 goals be scored? · Over 4.5 goals scored	16¢	16%	0.9¢	—	32%	1	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 4.5 goals be scored? · Over 4.5 goals scored	29¢	29%	1.4¢	—	58%	1	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 4.5 goals be scored? · Over 4.5 goals scored	29¢	29%	1.4¢	—	58%	1	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 4.5 goals be scored? · Over 4.5 goals scored	28¢	28%	1.4¢	—	56%	1	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 4.5 goals be scored? · Over 4.5 goals scored	27¢	27%	1.4¢	—	54%	1	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 4.5 goals be scored? · Over 4.5 goals scored	26¢	26%	1.3¢	—	51%	1	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 4.5 goals be scored? · Over 4.5 goals scored	23¢	23%	1.2¢	—	46%	1	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 4.5 goals be scored? · Over 4.5 goals scored	22¢	22%	1.2¢	—	43%	1	Nov 12, 19:00 UTC
Will over 3.5 goals be scored? · Over 3.5 goals scored	45¢	45%	1.7¢	—	90%	0	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 5.5 goals be scored? · Over 5.5 goals scored	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	0	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 4.5 goals be scored? · Over 4.5 goals scored	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	0	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 3.5 goals be scored? · Over 3.5 goals scored	40¢	40%	1.7¢	—	80%	0	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 1.5 goals be scored? · Over 1.5 goals scored	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	0	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 0.5 goals be scored? · Over 0.5 goals scored	95¢	95%	0.3¢	—	10%	0	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 5.5 goals be scored? · Over 5.5 goals scored	14¢	14%	0.8¢	—	27%	0	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 4.5 goals be scored? · Over 4.5 goals scored	26¢	26%	1.3¢	—	52%	0	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC
Will over 1.5 goals be scored? · Over 1.5 goals scored	82¢	82%	1.0¢	—	35%	0	Nov 12, 19:30 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 72 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.