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EPL Leader on Kalshi
If Youri Tielemans leads the EPL in assists for the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fox Sports, Sky Sports, NBC Sports, ESPN, CBS Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 64 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
9% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Joao Pedro lead EPL in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Joao Pedro | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 17,162 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Erling Haaland lead EPL in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Erling Haaland | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 11,251 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Alexander Isak lead EPL in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Alexander Isak | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 7,331 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Kai Havertz lead EPL in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Kai Havertz | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 6,969 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Cole Palmer lead EPL in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Cole Palmer | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 4,811 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Morgan Rogers lead EPL in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Morgan Rogers | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 4,231 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Benjamin Sesko lead EPL in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Benjamin Sesko | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,966 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Rayan Cherki lead EPL in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Rayan Cherki | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,339 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Igor Thiago lead EPL in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Igor Thiago | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,053 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Bryan Mbeumo lead EPL in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Bryan Mbeumo | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,381 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Yoane Wissa lead EPL in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Yoane Wissa | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,218 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Bruno Fernandes lead EPL in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Bruno Fernandes | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,074 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Evanilson lead EPL in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Evanilson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,870 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Viktor Gyokeres lead EPL in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Viktor Gyokeres | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,689 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Martin Odegaard lead EPL in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Martin Odegaard | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 1,006 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Joao Pedro lead EPL in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Joao Pedro | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 905 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Pedro Neto lead EPL in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Pedro Neto | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 709 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Antoine Semenyo lead EPL in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Antoine Semenyo | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 651 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Rayan lead EPL in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Rayan | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 536 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Bruno Fernandes lead EPL in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Bruno Fernandes | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 327 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Harry Wilson lead EPL in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Harry Wilson | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 288 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Omar Marmoush lead EPL in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Omar Marmoush | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 281 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Rayan Cherki lead EPL in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Rayan Cherki | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 220 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Dominic Calvert-Lewin lead EPL in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 213 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Christos Tzolis lead EPL in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Christos Tzolis | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 207 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Matheus Cunha lead EPL in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Matheus Cunha | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 170 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Erling Haaland lead EPL in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Erling Haaland | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 129 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall lead EPL in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 88 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Florian Wirtz lead EPL in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Florian Wirtz | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 74 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Hugo Ekitike lead EPL in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Hugo Ekitike | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 57 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Yeremy Pino lead EPL in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Yeremy Pino | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 54 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Declan Rice lead EPL in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Declan Rice | 14¢ | 14% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 51 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Youri Tielemans lead EPL in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Youri Tielemans | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 43 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Enzo Fernandez lead EPL in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Enzo Fernandez | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 43 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Jeremy Doku lead EPL in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Jeremy Doku | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 42 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Enzo Le Fee lead EPL in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Enzo Le Fee | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 41 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Phil Foden lead EPL in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Phil Foden | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 40 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Elliot Anderson lead EPL in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Elliot Anderson | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 40 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Dominik Szoboszlai lead EPL in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Dominik Szoboszlai | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 40 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Alejandro Garnacho lead EPL in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Alejandro Garnacho | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 36 | Jun 08, 02:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 64 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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