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English Premier League Relegation on Kalshi
If Tottenham is relegated from the EPL in 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
8%
Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
15% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.22 | 8.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City be relegated from EPL in 2026-27 Season? · Manchester City | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 174,600 | Jun 21, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Hull City be relegated from EPL in 2026-27 Season? · Hull City | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 58,199 | Jun 21, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Tottenham be relegated from EPL in 2026-27 Season? · Tottenham | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 54,232 | Jun 21, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Arsenal be relegated from EPL in 2026-27 Season? · Arsenal | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 31,599 | Jun 21, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Coventry City be relegated from EPL in 2026-27 Season? · Coventry City | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 26,481 | Jun 21, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Ipswich Town be relegated from EPL in 2026-27 Season? · Ipswich Town | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 13,583 | Jun 21, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Manchester United be relegated from EPL in 2026-27 Season? · Manchester United | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 10,859 | Jun 21, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Newcastle United be relegated from EPL in 2026-27 Season? · Newcastle United | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 9,657 | Jun 21, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Nottingham Forest be relegated from EPL in 2026-27 Season? · Nottingham Forest | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 8,148 | Jun 21, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Fulham be relegated from EPL in 2026-27 Season? · Fulham | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 6,332 | Jun 21, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Sunderland be relegated from EPL in 2026-27 Season? · Sunderland | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 5,740 | Jun 21, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Crystal Palace be relegated from EPL in 2026-27 Season? · Crystal Palace | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 5,550 | Jun 21, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Aston Villa be relegated from EPL in 2026-27 Season? · Aston Villa | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 5,370 | Jun 21, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Leeds United be relegated from EPL in 2026-27 Season? · Leeds United | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 3,936 | Jun 21, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Everton be relegated from EPL in 2026-27 Season? · Everton | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 1,530 | Jun 21, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Brighton be relegated from EPL in 2026-27 Season? · Brighton | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 444 | Jun 21, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth be relegated from EPL in 2026-27 Season? · Bournemouth | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 393 | Jun 21, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Liverpool be relegated from EPL in 2026-27 Season? · Liverpool | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 354 | Jun 21, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Brentford be relegated from EPL in 2026-27 Season? · Brentford | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 295 | Jun 21, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Chelsea be relegated from EPL in 2026-27 Season? · Chelsea | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 206 | Jun 21, 21:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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