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Team Points on Kalshi

If Tottenham reaches at least 75 points in the 2026-27 EPL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN.

Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 80 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢ (now)1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Arsenal finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 75+ points? · Arsenal: 75+ Points92¢92%0.5¢—17%21,806Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Liverpool finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 65+ points? · Liverpool: 65+ Points54¢54%1.7¢—92%12,911Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Brentford finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 45+ points? · Brentford: 45+ Points52¢52%1.7¢—96%11,843Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Arsenal finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 85+ points? · Arsenal: 85+ Points44¢44%1.7¢—89%11,436Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Hull City finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 15+ points? · Hull City: 15+ Points51¢51%1.7¢—98%10,005Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Sunderland finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 45+ points? · Sunderland: 45+ Points36¢36%1.6¢—72%9,449Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Tottenham finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 70+ points? · Tottenham: 70+ Points49¢49%1.7¢—98%7,244Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Manchester United finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 65+ points? · Manchester United: 65+ Points50¢50%1.8¢—100%6,259Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Brentford finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 40+ points? · Brentford: 40+ Points51¢51%1.7¢—98%6,235Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Brighton finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 45+ points? · Brighton: 45+ Points50¢50%1.7¢—99%5,602Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Brighton finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 55+ points? · Brighton: 55+ Points50¢50%1.8¢—100%5,098Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Coventry City finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 35+ points? · Coventry City: 35+ Points64¢64%1.6¢—71%4,947Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Brighton finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 40+ points? · Brighton: 40+ Points50¢50%1.7¢—99%4,350Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Aston Villa finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 60+ points? · Aston Villa: 60+ Points50¢50%1.7¢—99%4,341Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Fulham finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 50+ points? · Fulham: 50+ Points52¢52%1.7¢—97%3,568Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Sunderland finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 40+ points? · Sunderland: 40+ Points56¢56%1.7¢—87%3,395Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Manchester City finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 75+ points? · Manchester City: 75+ Points51¢51%1.7¢—98%3,287Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Fulham finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 40+ points? · Fulham: 40+ Points52¢52%1.7¢—97%3,075Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Liverpool finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 75+ points? · Liverpool: 75+ Points48¢48%1.7¢—95%3,039Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Liverpool finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 70+ points? · Liverpool: 70+ Points32¢32%1.5¢—64%2,923Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Nottingham Forest finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 50+ points? · Nottingham Forest: 50+ Points46¢46%1.7¢—93%2,880Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Manchester United finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 60+ points? · Manchester United: 60+ Points50¢50%1.8¢—100%2,860Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Chelsea finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 65+ points? · Chelsea: 65+ Points48¢48%1.7¢—96%2,827Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Nottingham Forest finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 45+ points? · Nottingham Forest: 45+ Points46¢46%1.7¢—92%2,750Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Chelsea finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 75+ points? · Chelsea: 75+ Points30¢30%1.5¢—59%2,721Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Chelsea finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 60+ points? · Chelsea: 60+ Points76¢76%1.3¢—47%2,557Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Hull City finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 20+ points? · Hull City: 20+ Points50¢50%1.8¢—100%2,485Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Brentford finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 55+ points? · Brentford: 55+ Points43¢43%1.7¢—85%2,417Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Brighton finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 50+ points? · Brighton: 50+ Points50¢50%1.8¢—100%2,325Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Chelsea finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 70+ points? · Chelsea: 70+ Points35¢35%1.6¢—70%2,319Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Leeds United finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 50+ points? · Leeds United: 50+ Points50¢50%1.7¢—99%2,234Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Brentford finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 50+ points? · Brentford: 50+ Points50¢50%1.7¢—99%2,232Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Fulham finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 45+ points? · Fulham: 45+ Points50¢50%1.8¢—100%1,310Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Aston Villa finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 65+ points? · Aston Villa: 65+ Points57¢57%1.7¢—85%1,285Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Sunderland finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 50+ points? · Sunderland: 50+ Points50¢50%1.8¢—100%1,001Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Aston Villa finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 50+ points? · Aston Villa: 50+ Points50¢50%1.8¢—100%523Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Arsenal finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 70+ points? · Arsenal: 70+ Points80¢80%1.1¢—41%403Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Newcastle United finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 45+ points? · Newcastle United: 45+ Points50¢50%1.8¢—100%319Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Arsenal finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 80+ points? · Arsenal: 80+ Points48¢48%1.7¢—95%247Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
Will Manchester City finish the 2026-27 EPL season with 80+ points? · Manchester City: 80+ Points50¢50%1.8¢—100%210Jun 13, 21:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 80 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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