What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Eredivisie League Winner on Kalshi

If Zwolle is the 2026-27 Eredivisie champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Alkmaar win the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · Alkmaar	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	2,321	Jun 07, 02:00 UTC
Will Ajax win the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · Ajax	12¢	12%	0.8¢	—	25%	1,466	Jun 07, 02:00 UTC
Will Groningen win the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · Groningen	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	452	Jun 07, 02:00 UTC
Will Eindhoven win the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · Eindhoven	55¢	55%	1.7¢	—	89%	429	Jun 07, 02:00 UTC
Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · Feyenoord	20¢	20%	1.1¢	—	41%	211	Jun 07, 02:00 UTC
Will Enschede win the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · Enschede	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	5	Jun 07, 02:00 UTC
Will Zwolle win the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · Zwolle	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Jun 07, 02:00 UTC
Will Willem II win the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · Willem II	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Jun 07, 02:00 UTC
Will Telstar win the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · Telstar	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Jun 07, 02:00 UTC
Will Sparta win the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · Sparta	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Jun 07, 02:00 UTC
Will Nijmegen win the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · Nijmegen	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Jun 07, 02:00 UTC
Will Heerenveen win the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · Heerenveen	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Jun 07, 02:00 UTC
Will GA Eagles win the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · GA Eagles	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Jun 07, 02:00 UTC
Will Sittard win the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · Sittard	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Jun 07, 02:00 UTC
Will Utrecht win the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · Utrecht	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Jun 07, 02:00 UTC
Will Excelsior win the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · Excelsior	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Jun 07, 02:00 UTC
Will Cambuur win the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · Cambuur	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Jun 07, 02:00 UTC
Will Den Haag win the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · Den Haag	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Jun 07, 02:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.